The triceratops is the best dinosaur.

I recognize that may be a controversial statement, despite the triceratops’ ideal blend of distinctive appearance, toughness, and cuteness. Only 6% of Americans agree with me, according to a recent YouGov poll, with many preferring inferior dinosaur species such as brontosaurus, velociraptor, pterodactyl (not even a dinosaur), and, of course, T. rex. But more bewildering to me than all the Tyrannosaurus rex fans out there is that nearly 40% of Americans don’t have a favorite dinosaur at all.

But our poll provides some answers — at least to the question of why I like dinosaurs, and why so many other people just don’t care. I was born in the 1980s and grew up in the 1990s, a period when the dinosaur renaissance peaked with the 1993 release of Jurassic Park. I didn’t actually see Jurassic Park at the time, but I didn’t have to — dinosaurs were ubiquitous for ‘90s kids, from VHS copies of The Land Before Time to the evocative illustrations in James Gurney’s Dinotopia to T. exes roaring on Happy Meal cups.

YouGov’s polling shows that 30- to 44-year-olds are more likely than other adults to say they like or love dinosaurs: 58% say so, compared to 48% of those under 30, 46% of 45- to 64-year olds, and 34% of those 65 and older. Men and college graduates are more likely to have favorite dinosaurs than are women and non-graduates. Liberals and those who say religion isn’t important in their life are more likely to view dinosaurs positively than are moderates, conservatives, and Americans who are more religious.

This isn’t to say that many people dislike dinosaurs. Only 3% of Americans say they dislike or hate dinosaurs. Instead, a plurality (47%) of Americans say they neither like nor dislike dinosaurs, while another 47% say they either like (17%) or love (30%) dinosaurs.

More Americans say they liked or loved dinosaurs as kids than say they like or love them now (56% vs. 47%). 60% of adults under 30, 65% of 30- to 44-year-olds, and 62% of 45- to 64-year-olds say they liked or loved dinosaurs as kids — but only 34% of Americans 65 and older did.

Among Americans who like or love dinosaurs, 81% say they have a favorite dinosaur, almost twice the share of those who neither like nor dislike dinosaurs who have a favorite (44%).

Tyrannosaurus rex is the most common favorite dinosaur, among dinosaur fans and non-fans alike: 24% of adults, 29% of those who like or love dinosaurs, and 19% of those who are neutral about dinosaurs say T. rex is their favorite.

Other common favorite dinosaurs include brontosaurus (7% of Americans), my beloved triceratops (6%), pterodactyls (5%), velociraptors (5%), and stegosaurus (4%). (We included two dinosaur-like reptiles — pterodactyls and plesiosaurs — as options alongside actual dinosaur species.) 6% of Americans say another type of dinosaur is their favorite.

We asked respondents how many dinosaurs they thought they could name off the top of their head. 9% of Americans think they couldn’t name any, while 8% say they could name one, 13% two, 19% three, 13% four, and 25% five or more. 7% of Americans say they could name 10 or more types of dinosaurs.

Then we put these claims to the test and asked those respondents who said they could name at least one dinosaur to name as many dinosaurs as they could. We had an AI agent classify the results, with instructions to be generous about misspellings.

Overall, 84% named fewer dinosaurs than they thought they would, while 15% named the same number they predicted, and only 2% named more. Only 16% named five or more types of dinosaurs, fewer than the 25% who said they could. 16% who said they could name one dinosaur didn’t name any.

YouGov also asked Americans whether they had seen any of 11 dinosaur-themed movies. Jurassic Park topped the list, with 77% of Americans saying they have seen it, followed by King Kong (63%), Jurassic World (58%), The Land Before Time (49%), Journey to the Center of the Earth (40%), Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs (38%), and Land of the Lost (33%). Only 7% of Americans said they hadn’t seen any of the 11 dinosaur movies.

Let us know in the comments — which is your favorite dinosaur? Or if you don’t have one, this Millennial would be fascinated to know your thoughts as to why!

(Long-time subscribers may remember reading about YouGov’s dinosaur polling in the past. I wanted to make sure that 2024 poll’s results replicated — sadly, they do — and add new questions.)

Charting opinions

Are humans monogamous by nature? Here’s what Americans think

Only 7% believe all humans are monogamous by nature and 24% think most humans are monogamous by nature. 16% say about half of humans are monogamous by nature, 12% say most humans are not monogamous by nature, and 8% say all humans are not monogamous by nature.

Americans 65 and older are more likely than younger adults to believe all or most humans are monogamous by nature (39% vs. 29%). Republicans are more likely than Democrats to believe all or most people are monogamous by nature (44% vs. 27%). (Jamie Ballard)

Quick takes

• World Cup: 14% of Americans say they’ll buy tickets to a match at the upcoming World Cup, including 6% who say they will travel to attend a game

• AI: 30% of Americans say the benefits of AI for society outweigh the drawbacks either greatly (12%) or somewhat (17%), while 35% say the drawbacks outweigh the benefits either greatly (21%) or somewhat (15%)

• Pardons: 54% of Americans say the U.S. president’s power to pardon people convicted of federal crimes should be limited, including 79% of Democrats, 55% of Independents, and 29% of Republicans

• Pope: 55% of Americans strongly or somewhat disapprove of an excerpt of a social media post from Donald Trump that criticizes Pope Leo XIV as “WEAK on Crime, and terrible for Foreign Policy,” while 27% approve of it

• MAGA: 19% of Americans identify as both MAGA and America First, while 4% say they’re MAGA only, 13% say they’re America First only, and 49% say they are neither

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• Economist + YouGov on Iran, Trump approval, and gas prices

• CBS + YouGov on Iran

Polling abroad

• Do Europeans think it was right to admit Hungary to the EU? (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• War powers vote will test Senate’s support for Trump’s war with Iran (Washington Post)

• Most Americans opposed to Trump signature on money: Poll (The Hill)

• Hawks and Doves (Brain Lenses | Colin Wright’s Substack)

• In Defense of Dumb Dogs (New York Times)

• Get yourself a ‘Luddite boyfriend,’ the biggest green flag in modern dating (Yahoo Life)

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll:

• Most Americans approve of the U.S. ceasefire with Iran

• 48% of Americans say Trump is suffering modest or significant cognitive decline

• Americans’ evaluations of gas prices are tied more to their views about the Iran war than to price changes in their state

Plus polling on JD Vance, marijuana, the state of the country, and the U.S. endorsing in foreign elections.

Iran

Most Americans approve of the recent ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, according to the most recent Economist / YouGov Poll — conducted before that ceasefire began to come apart Monday. But support for the U.S. war with Iran overall has barely budged, and Donald Trump’s social media posts about the war are unpopular — especially the ones threatening violence against Iran.

63% of Americans strongly approve of the two-week ceasefire with Iran, including 55% of Democrats, 56% of Independents, and 80% of Republicans.

Overall, 32% of U.S. adult citizens strongly or somewhat support the war with Iran, and 55% oppose it. The share of Americans who support the war has changed only a little over the past month. The shares of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans who say they support MAGA also have been mostly steady. Non-MAGA Republicans, however, have fluctuated considerably. Some of this could be normal statistical variation in a subgroup that’s less than 10% of the U.S. adult citizen population, and some of it could represent changing views among a group that’s sympathetic to Trump but doesn’t identify with his political movement.

The Economist and YouGov showed Americans six posts Trump made about the war on his social media site, Truth Social. For each of the six, more Americans disapprove of the statement than approve of it.

The least-unpopular Trump post was a March 6 post in which he declared that, “There will be no deal with Iran except UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER,” but that after that surrender, the U.S. would “work tirelessly to bring Iran back from the brink of destruction, making it economically bigger, better, and stronger than ever before.” 33% of Americans approve of that statement and 47% disapprove.

The most unpopular statement was an April 5 post in which he said, “Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell - JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah.” Only 22% of Americans approve of that statement, and 59% disapprove.

MAGA Republicans are more likely to approve of each of the six posts than are non-MAGA Republicans. Both groups are less likely to support Trump’s more bellicose posts than the less violent ones.

For example, 81% of MAGA Republicans approve of the post demanding “unconditional surrender,” and only 6% disapprove. In contrast, the post threatening “Power Plant Day” has approval from 66% of MAGA Republicans while 18% disapprove.

Trump

38% of Americans approve of Donald Trump’s job handling in the most recent Economist / YouGov Poll, and 56% disapprove, for a net job approval of -18. That’s in line with Trump’s net approval over the past three weeks, which has averaged -19.

Asked to choose which words describe Trump from a list of 13, Americans are most likely to pick dangerous (52%), corrupt (47%), or bold (45%), and least likely to pick honest (22%), steady (16%), or inspiring (16%).

22% of Americans say Trump’s negotiating skill is excellent, while 16% say it’s good, 10% fair, and 43% poor.

48% of Americans say Trump is too old to be president while 40% say he isn’t.

35% say Trump is suffering significant cognitive decline, while 13% say he’s suffering modest cognitive decline and 32% say he isn’t suffering cognitive decline. As for physical decline, 29% say Trump is suffering significant decline, 22% that he’s suffering modest decline, and 27% that he’s not suffering any decline.

Majorities of Democrats say Trump is suffering each kind of decline, and majorities of Republicans say he isn’t. Democrats and Independents are more likely to say Trump is suffering significant cognitive decline than they are to say he’s suffering significant physical decline. But Republicans, including those who support MAGA and those who don’t, are more likely to say Trump is suffering physical decline than to say he’s suffering cognitive decline.

Only 24% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s signature being added to all U.S. paper currency, while 59% disapprove. Almost all Democrats (4% approve and 92% disapprove) and most Independents (13% vs. 65%) disapprove of putting Trump’s signature on currency. A majority of Republicans approves of this (55% vs. 20%), including approval from most MAGA Republicans (63% vs. 12%) but division among non-MAGA Republicans (35% vs. 40%).

Gas prices

Americans who say that prices are going up a lot are much less likely to support the war with Iran than are those who say gas prices are going up a little or going down, according to the latest YouGov / Economist poll. But our analysis suggests that the story is not as simple as rising gas prices turning opinion against the war. Instead, we find that Republicans and supporters of the Iran war are more likely to say that gas prices are not going up a lot in their area regardless of the average change in gas prices in their state. This suggests that Americans’ political views may drive how they answer questions about gas prices at least as much as objective economic conditions.

A majority (55%) of Americans say that gas prices are going up a lot where they live. Nearly one-third (30%) say they are going up a little and only 8% say they are going down. There’s a lot of variation by political party identification in evaluations of gas prices’ direction. Majorities of Democrats (68%) and Independents (56%) but only 43% of Republicans say that prices are going up a lot. Republicans who identify as MAGA supporters are even less likely to say this: Only 36% of MAGA Republicans say that prices are going up a lot while 54% of non-MAGA Republicans say they are. 15% of Republicans say that prices are going down a little or a lot — including 17% of MAGA Republicans and 11% of non-MAGA Republicans — while 6% of Independents and 4% of Democrats say the same.

There is even more variation in views of gas prices’ direction by support for the war with Iran. Three-quarters (75%) of Americans who strongly oppose the war with Iran say that gas prices where they live are going up a lot. In contrast, only about one-third (31%) of those who strongly support the war say that prices are going up a lot.

The overwhelming majority of Americans who strongly oppose the war say they live in areas that have seen large increases in gas prices, while many of the war’s supporters say they live in areas that have seen more modest increases or even decreases. This may seem to show that Americans’ views about the war are heavily shaped by gas prices. For that to be the case, though, Americans’ views about the direction of their local gas prices would have to accurately reflect reality. We have evidence that this is not the case.

Using historical data from AAA’s State Gas Price Averages accessed through the Internet Archive, we calculated the change in average gas prices in each state between February 26 — two days before the start of the war with Iran — and April 10 — just before the start of this poll. During this period, average gas prices increased by between $0.89 and $1.48 per gallon in each state. With percentage increases in the double digits everywhere, there are no reference points of states with price decreases or negligible increases, but the differences in levels of increase still allow us to tease apart factors tied to perceptions of how much prices have increased.

There isn’t much correlation between the average increase in gas prices in a respondent’s state and their evaluation of the change in gas prices where they live. Americans in states that saw the smallest price increases, of less than $0.90, are about as likely to say that prices are going up a lot as are those who live in states that saw the largest increases of $1.30 or more (53% vs. 57%). While there will always be some variation of change in gas prices within a state, we wouldn’t expect to see such similar evaluations between states that have seen the smallest and largest average price increases if responses reflected only price changes.

There is some connection between what Americans say about the change in their local gas prices and what they say they paid per gallon the last time they bought gas. 59% of those who say local gas prices are going up a lot and who share their most recent fill-up price said they paid at least $4 per gallon, compared to 42% of those who say prices are going up a little and 33% of those who say local gas prices are decreasing. But that’s a measure of absolute price, not change.

If price changes aren’t the only driver of Americans’ evaluations of gas prices, what else explains the difference in responses? We find evidence that political considerations can explain these differences. Republicans are much less likely than Democrats to say that gas prices are going up a lot regardless of what’s happening to gas prices where they live. Republicans who live in states that have seen below average gas-price increases — increases of less than $1.18 — are 23 percentage points less likely than Democrats in those states to say that gas prices are going up a lot (44% vs. 67%). The difference is slightly more pronounced in states that have seen average price increases of $1.18 or more (42% vs. 69%).

We can see an even larger effect if we divide Americans by whether they support or oppose the war with Iran. Iran war supporters in states with average gas price increases of less than $1.18 are 34 points less likely to say that gas prices are going up a lot than are Americans in those states who oppose the war with Iran (35% vs. 69%). The gap is nearly the same in states that have seen above-average gas price increases (34% vs. 70%).

All this suggests that Americans’ evaluations of gas prices are shaped by their perceptions of the war with Iran, or that both are shaped by common factors, such as their opinion of President Trump. We find that views of the war with Iran are much more closely tied to Americans’ evaluations of gas prices than are actual changes in gas prices in their states. When we control for respondents’ support for the Iran war, average gas price changes in their state play almost no role in determining whether they say that gas prices are going up a lot.

Quick takes

• 58% of Americans say the U.S. government should not endorse candidates running for office in foreign countries. 12% say it should

• 19% of Americans say that Vice President JD Vance has quite a bit or a great deal or influence in the Trump administration. 28% say Vance has a moderate amount of influence and 37% say he has only a little or none at all

• 33% of Americans say they are not sure what the price of gas was when they last bought it

• 53% of Americans think the use of marijuana should be legal in the U.S. and 31% do not. Support for legalization is greater among older Americans: 56% of Americans 45 and older support it and 29% oppose it, while 50% of younger adults support it and 33% oppose it

Final chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus the toplines and crosstabs for the April 10 - 13, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,748 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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In this week’s Economist/YouGov poll:

• The U.S.’s war with Iran remains unpopular

• Inflation is Americans’ most important political issue — and one where Trump is particularly unpopular

• Bipartisan majorities say they pay too much in taxes, but views on spending are more divided

Iran

A majority of Americans oppose the U.S. war with Iran, and most oppose sending U.S. ground troops there, according to the latest Economist / YouGov Poll.

34% of Americans strongly or somewhat support the war, and 53% oppose it. Almost all Democrats oppose the war (9% support it and 84% oppose it), as do a majority of Independents (24% vs. 57%), but most Republicans support it (67% vs. 21%).

Americans who say gas prices near them are going up a lot are more likely to oppose the war than are those who say gas prices are going up a little and those who say prices are not going up (65% vs. 38% vs. 30%).

Last week, we highlighted a sharp drop in support for the Iran war among Republicans who say they’re not MAGA supporters. This week’s survey found support for the war among non-MAGA Republicans rebounding to 54%, from 33% last week.

These shifts could reflect actual swings in opinion as well as survey variation among a relatively small subgroup: about 10% of U.S. adult citizens.

62% of Americans say gas prices are going up a lot where they live, while 24% say they’re going up a little and 6% say they’re not changing or going down a lot. Those who say local gas prices are up a lot are much less likely to support the war than are those who say gas prices are up a little. This gap in support exists among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans.

Only 15% of Americans say they favor the U.S. sending ground troops into Iran, while 62% oppose this and 24% aren’t sure. There is less support than opposition for sending ground troops among Democrats (4% vs. 86%), Independents (8% vs. 63%), and Republicans (31% vs. 39%). Republicans who identify as MAGA supporters are more likely to support than oppose sending ground troops (41% vs. 31%).

Americans who say they strongly support the war with Iran favor sending in ground troops by a two-to-one margin (46% favor it and 23% oppose it), while favorability for sending in group troops is lower among those who somewhat support the war (26% vs. 42%), somewhat oppose it (8% vs. 76%), and strongly oppose it (1% vs. 93%).

58% of Americans say they either don’t understand Trump’s objectives in Iran very well (23%) or don’t understand them at all (34%). Another 26% say they understand Trump’s objectives somewhat well. Only 17% say they understand them very well, including 6% of Democrats, 15% of Independents, and 29% of Republicans. 70% of Republicans say they understand Trump’s motivations at least somewhat well, compared to 34% of Independents and 22% of Democrats.

Trump approval

The share of Americans who strongly or somewhat approve of how Donald Trump is handling his job as president bounced up from last week’s second-term low, but remains very low as Americans increasingly worry about inflation.

38% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job handling, and 55% disapprove, for a net job approval of -17. That’s up from last week’s net approval of -23. But a three-week rolling average of Trump’s net job approval remains near record lows at -19, and has trended downward since late 2025.

Trump’s low approval comes amid a spike of attention to inflation and prices. 34% of Americans say inflation/prices is their most important issue, up from 23% last week and higher than at any time since Economist / YouGov polls began asking about inflation as its own issue in July 2022. (The list of issues Americans could pick from on this question has changed over time. Two surveys listed “inflation” as an option, while others listed “inflation/prices.”)

Similar shares of Democrats and Republicans say inflation is their most important issue (36% vs. 37%). Both are up substantially from last week’s poll.

This rise in concern over inflation matters for opinion of Trump because most Americans disapprove of how Trump is handling inflation: 29% strongly or somewhat approve and 64% disapprove. That net issue approval of -35 is a record low for Trump’s current term.

Americans are also more likely to disapprove of how Trump is handling inflation than they are of his handling of the economy overall: 37% approve of how he’s handling jobs and the economy, and 56% disapprove, a net issue approval of -20.

While approval of Trump’s handling of the economy went up in this week’s poll — in line with Trump’s overall job approval — approval of Trump’s handling of inflation went down. 23% of Americans who say they approve of Trump’s overall job handling disapprove of how he’s handling inflation. Almost no one who disapproves of Trump’s overall job handling approves of how he’s handling inflation.

Since the February 6 - 9 poll — before the war with Iran — net approval for Trump’s handling of inflation has fallen to -35 from -23. It has declined among Democrats (-95 from -92), Independents (-52 from -41), and Republicans (+40 from +50).

Taxes and spending

A majority of Americans say they spend too much in taxes and about half think proposed military spending for next year is too high, according to the latest Economist / YouGov Poll.

A majority (58%) of Americans say that the amount of tax they pay is too high. About one-third (32%) say the amount of tax they pay is about right, while almost none (1%) say the amount they pay is too low.

There is not as much partisan division on this question as on certain matters of tax policy. Majorities of Democrats (58%), Independents (54%), and Republicans (63%) say the amount they pay in taxes is too high. About one-third of each group say the amount they pay is about right, while almost none in any group say the amount is too low.

There is also not much division based on income: Americans with higher family incomes are slightly more likely to say the amount they pay is too high compared to Americans with lower incomes. 56% of Americans with family incomes of less than $50,000 say they pay too much in taxes, compared to 61% of Americans with incomes of between $50,000 and $100,000 and 60% of Americans with incomes of $100,000 or more.

Americans are about as likely to say the amount of tax they pay is not fair as to say they pay too much (61% vs. 58%). This share is affected even less by partisanship and income. The shares of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans who say the amount of tax they pay is not fair are all within 1 percentage point of 61%, as are the shares of Americans with family incomes less than $50,000, between $50,000 and $100,000, and $100,000 or more.

When thinking about federal taxes this year compared to taxes last year, about twice as many Americans say the amount they pay this year will be slightly or much higher than say it will be lower (28% vs. 15%). About one-third (32%) say this year’s taxes will be about the same as last year’s. Republicans (20%) are a bit more likely to say that this year’s taxes will be lower than are Democrats (13%) or Independents (13%).

Americans with higher family incomes are more likely to say their taxes will be higher this year, but also more likely to say they will be lower. Americans with lower family incomes are more likely to say their taxes will stay about the same.

Like with higher-income Americans, Americans who say their family finances have improved this year are both more likely to say their taxes will be higher this year and more likely to say their taxes will be lower. Americans who say their finances are about the same are more likely to say their taxes will also stay about the same. Americans who say their family’s finances have gotten worse are more likely to say they will pay more in taxes than to say they will pay less (30% vs. 14%).

While many Americans have strong opinions on the amount they personally pay in taxes, a smaller share express an opinion about changes made to the tax system in 2025 by the Trump administration and Congress. 40% of Americans say they have no opinion about changes to the tax system. Those who do have an opinion are about evenly split between supporting and opposing the changes (31% vs. 29%).

Views on the tax changes are highly polarized by party identification. A majority (54%) of Democrats somewhat or strongly oppose the changes, while only 7% support them. Independents are also more likely to oppose the changes than to support them, though the margin is much closer (31% vs. 24%). A majority of Republicans (61%) support the changes, while only 4% oppose them.

Americans with higher incomes are more likely to say they have an opinion about the changes than Americans with lower incomes. But among those with an opinion, income does not seem to significantly shape support or opposition to the changes. Americans in all three income groups are narrowly more likely to support the changes than to oppose them.

Americans are much more likely to express opinions about upcoming spending proposals than about last year’s tax policy changes. Nearly half (47%) of Americans say the Trump administration’s proposed military spending for 2027 — $1.45 trillion, up from about $1.01 trillion in 2026 — is too much. About one-third (32%) say it is about right and only 4% say it is too little.

A majority (76%) of Democrats and about half (51%) of Independents say the proposed spending is too much. In contrast, a majority (61%) of Republicans say it is about right, while only 15% say it is too much.

There is more of an appetite for increasing education spending: A majority (60%) of Americans say the federal government should increase what it spends on education. 17% think federal education spending should stay the same and 15% think it should be decreased.

Majorities of Democrats (82%) and Independents (61%) say federal education spending should be increased. Only 39% of Republicans say the same, while 28% say federal education spending should stay the same. Only one-quarter (25%) of Republicans say federal education spending should be decreased, but this is higher than the shares of Independents (14%) and Democrats (4%) who say this.

The Economist / YouGov survey asked Americans if they would support or oppose four tax policy changes, and found that majorities would strongly or somewhat support all four. Support was highest for a proposal to exempt homeowners 65 and older from property taxes (73%). Two-thirds (67%) would support an additional tax on incomes over $1 million. The same share (67%) would support no federal income tax on the first $75,000 of earnings. 62% of Americans support increasing the child tax credit to $3,600 per child age 6 to 17 and $4,320 per child under 6.

Proposals to exempt older Americans from property taxes and eliminate federal taxes on income below $75,000 are more popular among Republicans than Democrats. Proposals to increase taxes on incomes of $1 million and increase the child tax credit draw more support from Democrats than Republicans. But each of the four proposals is supported by majorities of Democrats and Republicans.

A majority of Americans use either tax preparation software or a paid tax preparer when filing their taxes. Software solutions are a bit more popular than accountants: 35% of Americans say they use software or apps, while 26% say they pay an accountant or other person. 5% say they do both and 24% say they do neither.

Americans with family incomes of $100,000 or more are more likely to use software than are Americans with incomes between $50,000 and $100,000 (44% vs. 38%) and less likely to pay a person to help with taxes (26% vs. 35%). Americans with family incomes less than $50,000 are less likely to use software or paid preparers than those with higher incomes: 35% of Americans in this group say they do not use either, compared to 15% of those with higher incomes.

Quick takes

• 51% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Donald Trump’s decision to fire Pam Bondi as attorney general; only 14% disapprove of the decision

  • Majorities of both Democrats (56%) and Republicans (53%) approve of the decision

• 51% of Americans disapprove of the job Bondi has done as attorney general. Only 22% approve

• 53% of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Bondi, the highest share for any of the eight current or former Trump administration officials included in the survey. Only 21% have a favorable opinion

  • Large shares of Americans also have unfavorable opinions of Kristi Noem (52%), Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (49%), and Pete Hegseth (44%)

  • No Trump administration official included in this week’s survey is viewed favorably by more Americans than view them unfavorably

• 21% of Americans say they think that a year from now they and their household will be better off financially, including 11% of Democrats and 35% of Republicans

  • Since the start of Trump’s second term, those are the lowest shares of Americans overall and of Republicans to expect a better financial situation a year from now

• Only 21% of Americans think the U.S. should withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while 47% want the U.S. to remain

  • Withdrawing from NATO has little support from Democrats (8%) and Independents (19%) but Republicans are slightly more likely to back NATO withdrawal than remaining in the alliance (36% vs. 30%)

Final chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus the toplines and crosstabs for the April 3 - 6, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,750 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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Both congressional Democrats and congressional Republicans are unpopular. But Democrats in Congress are less unpopular than their Republican colleagues according to this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll — and that’s unusual.

The poll found 34% of Americans view congressional Democrats very or somewhat favorably, and 55% view them unfavorably, a net favorability of -21. Congressional Republicans are viewed favorably by 32% and unfavorably by 58%, a net favorability of -26.

What makes this slim comparative Democratic advantage — disliked, but slightly less disliked — noteworthy is that it’s the first time since right before Trump took office in January 2025 that congressional Democrats have had a higher net favorability than congressional Republicans.

Since Economist / YouGov polls began asking this question in 2021, the party of the sitting president has tended to be viewed more favorably than the opposition party. Congressional Democrats were more popular than congressional Republicans for most of Joe Biden’s term in office, while congressional Republicans have been more popular since Trump took office — until this week.

This largely isn’t due to views from members of the opposite party. Democrats have consistently unfavorable views of congressional Republicans, and Republicans have consistently unfavorable views of congressional Democrats. Any slight increases and decreases in popularity of the other party’s members of Congress generally have come in tandem: When Democrats have disliked congressional Republicans slightly less, for the most part the same has been true about Republicans’ attitudes toward congressional Democrats.

Instead what it reflects is Americans souring on their own party’s congressional representatives when their party is in opposition. When Biden was president, Democrats usually gave higher marks to congressional Democrats than Republicans did to congressional Republicans. In Trump’s second term, the reverse has been true.

But what explains the surge in more favorable views about congressional Democrats from Democrats? It’s driven by a significant change among the most liberal Americans. In January, when the Economist / YouGov Poll last asked this question, very liberal Americans had a net unfavorable view of congressional Democrats: 41% were favorable and 54% unfavorable, for a net favorability of -13. That was in stark contrast to Americans who say they’re liberal but not very liberal. In January, 68% of this group had a favorable view of congressional Democrats and only 30% viewed them unfavorably.

Today, 62% of very liberal Americans view congressional Democrats favorably and 34% view them unfavorably — a net favorability of +28, up from -13.

Americans who are liberal but not very liberal, moderate, conservative but not very conservative, or very conservative have seen little or no change in their net favorability for congressional Democrats.

Charting opinions

Men and Republicans are more likely to take hawkish positions when they come with the label ‘hawk’

Half of respondents were asked, “Would you describe yourself more as a hawk — someone who believes that military force should be used frequently to promote U.S. policy? Or would you describe yourself as more of a dove — someone who believes the U.S. should rarely or never use military force?” And the other half were asked a shorter form of the question, omitting “a hawk —” and “a dove —”.

Men are 12 points more likely to describe themselves as hawks than to say they believe the military should be used frequently without the hawk label (25% vs. 13%). They’re also 10 points less likely to describe themselves as doves than to say they believe the military should be used rarely without the dove label (36% vs. 46%). (Alexander Rossell Hayes)

Quick takes

• Bondi: 49% of Americans — including 54% of Democrats and 51% of Republicans — strongly or somewhat approve of Donald Trump’s decision to fire Attorney General Pam Bondi, while 16% of Americans disapprove and 35% aren’t sure

• Birthright: 55% of Americans say that their view is closer to the position that all children born in the U.S. should automatically become citizens, and 35% say that only those children born in the U.S. whose parents are citizens or lawful permanent residents should automatically become citizens

• Parties: 11% of Americans, including 15% of Independents, say the ideal number of major U.S. political parties is five or more. 4% of Americans, including 7% of Independents, say the ideal number is none

• Moon: Similar shares of Americans say they would take a trip to the moon if offered the chance to do so safely and say they would not (44% vs. 40%); men are much more likely to say they’d visit the moon (56% vs. 30%) than are women (33% vs. 50%)

• Airport: 24% of Americans — including 4% of Democrats and 52% of Republicans — approve of renaming the Palm Beach International Airport as the President Donald J. Trump International Airport, while 57% of Americans disapprove, including 90% of Democrats and 23% of Republicans

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• Economist + YouGov on Trump approval, Iran, and the shutdown

• Yahoo + YouGov on family finances

Polling abroad

• Most Europeans in six countries support banning social media for under-16s (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Opinion | The Democrats’ Looming 2032 Cliff (New York Times)

• Trump endorses Republican plan to end DHS shutdown (Washington Post)

• Here’s how U.S. residents feel about Trump’s signature on American cash (Axios)

• The Bottom Is Falling Out for Trump (Blue Dot Bulletin)

• I’m a personal finance reporter who never budgeted. Then my boyfriend got laid off. (MarketWatch)

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist/YouGov poll:

• Trump net job approval drops to record low

• Most Americans oppose sending ground troops to Iran

• Republicans get more blame than Democrats for the partial shutdown

Trump approval

Donald Trump’s net job approval has dropped to a record low in this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll, amid eroding support from Trump’s core supporters.

Only 35% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of how Trump is handling his job as president, while 58% disapprove, for a net job approval of -23. That’s the lowest net approval Trump has received in any Economist / YouGov Poll over Trump’s first or second terms as president.

In only one prior Economist / YouGov Poll have fewer than 35% of Americans approved of Trump’s job handling (34% in November 2017), and in only one prior poll have more than 58% disapproved (59% in February 2026).

At this point in Trump’s first term, his net approval was -11. At this point in Joe Biden’s term, his net approval was -6.

The decline in Trump’s job approval in part reflects defections from his own supporters. Three weeks ago, 84% of people who voted for Trump in 2024 approved of his job handling, and 12% disapproved (+72 net job approval). This week, Trump’s job approval among 2024 Trump voters is 76% approve vs. 19% disapprove (+57). Overall, the share of Trump’s 2024 voters who approve of his job handling has fallen from 93% at the start of his term and 84% three weeks ago to 76% now. His decline in approval among nonvoters is similar: to 25% from 43% at the start of the term.

Trump has also hit a record low in job approval for his second term among Americans 65 and older. Among this group, 40% approve of Trump’s job handling and 57% disapprove — a -17 net job approval. That’s down from -1 net job approval at the start of Trump’s second term.

Iran

The U.S. war with Iran is unpopular and becoming more unpopular as it continues, the latest Economist / YouGov Poll finds, and few Americans support deploying ground troops to the conflict.

Only 30% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Donald Trump’s handling of the Iran conflict and 60% disapprove, for a net approval of -30. That’s down from -19 last week.

28% of Americans strongly or somewhat support the war with Iran, and 59% oppose it, for a net support of -30. Almost all Democrats (88%) oppose the war, while Independents oppose it by a 3-to-1 ratio. Most Republicans support the war (62%), but there’s a big gap in support between MAGA Republicans and non-MAGA Republicans (79% support vs. 33%). Because there are about twice as many MAGA supporters as non-MAGA supporters among Republicans, MAGA opinion typically drives overall Republican views.

The war with Iran has become less popular over recent weeks. Net support for the war has fallen to -30 from -23 in the March 13 - 16 Economist / YouGov Poll. Over that time, net support for the war with Iran among Democrats has fallen 2 points, while net support among Independents has fallen by 5 points and net support among Republicans has fallen by 19 points.

Support for the war in Iran among MAGA Republicans has hardly changed over the past two weeks. But non-MAGA Republicans have shifted dramatically from a moderately supportive group two weeks ago — when 56% of non-MAGA Republicans supported the war — to today, when 33% do.

Only 14% of Americans favor sending ground troops into Iran, while 62% oppose this. Almost all Democrats and 66% of Independents oppose sending in ground troops, while Republicans are divided, with 30% in favor and 37% opposed.

Republicans who identify as MAGA supporters are more likely to support than oppose sending in ground troops (41% vs. 27%), but most non-MAGA Republicans oppose sending in ground troops (15% support and 60% oppose).

Americans are more likely than not to doubt the existence of peace negotiations with Iran, with 20% saying there are ongoing peace negotiations and 46% saying there are not. 59% say it is very or somewhat unlikely that the U.S. and Iran reach a settlement in the next month, while 22% say this is likely.

Only 19% of Americans say Trump will back out of the U.S. war with Iran before the U.S. achieves its objectives, while 46% do not expect a U.S. retreat.

Flying and the shutdown

After a crash at LaGuardia Airport in New York and a partial government shutdown that left many airport security checkpoints understaffed, this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll asked about Americans’ views on flying and on the shutdown. Most Americans (77%) say that airline travel in the U.S. has a good or excellent safety record and few (13%) say they are very afraid of flying. Americans are more likely to blame Republicans for the shutdown than to blame Democrats (36% vs. 29%) and more say that Congress should fund the government without funding U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) than say that ICE funding should be included (47% vs. 32%).

Americans tend to think that air travel in the U.S. is safe. Most Americans would rate the overall safety record of airline travel in the U.S. as good (52%) or excellent (25%). Only about one-quarter would rate it as only fair (18%) or poor (5%).

These figures have changed little since this question was previously asked a year ago. There also was not much change between January 2025 and the February 2025 poll conducted soon after a midair collision near Washington, DC, and a plane crash near Philadelphia.

However, there is evidence of a growing partisan divide in evaluations of airline safety. Almost all Republicans (88%) say that airline safety is good or excellent, but only 72% of Democrats and 71% of Independents say the same. The gap between Democrats’ and Republicans’ evaluations is new. In polls conducted in January 2025 and February 2025, there was almost no divide between Democrats’ and Republicans’ evaluations. (Independents have been more likely to rate air travel negatively in both 2025 and 2026.)

Few Americans have a serious fear of flying: 13% say they are very afraid. About half (49%) say they have no fear of flying at all, while 38% say it bothers them slightly. The share who say they have no fear of flying is about the same as it was in January 2025 (50%), and higher than the 44% of Americans who said they were not afraid of flying at all in February 2025.

However, as with evaluations of flight safety, there is a growing partisan divide on this question. Republicans are 11 percentage points more likely than Democrats to say they are not afraid at all of flying (55% vs. 44%). Independents fall in the middle, with 49% saying they have no fear of flying. This is larger than the size of the gap between Republicans and Democrats in January 2025 (53% vs. 48%) and February 2025 (47% vs. 45%).

Outside of concerns about safety, Americans may currently be unenthusiastic about flying due to long security lines after the partial government shutdown left Transportation Security Administration (TSA) agents without pay. While both houses of Congress passed bills to fund the TSA over the weekend, the House and Senate were unable to agree on a single bill to send to the president to sign. Americans are slightly more likely to blame Republicans the most for the shutdown than to blame Democrats (36% vs. 29%). About one-quarter (24%) of Americans say the two parties are equally to blame.

Americans who identify with each of the major parties are much more likely to blame the opposing party than to blame their own: 70% of Democrats blame Republicans the most for the shutdown while 66% of Republicans blame Democrats the most. Independents are about twice as likely to blame Republicans as they are to blame Democrats (31% vs. 16%). About one-third (34%) of Independents blame both parties equally.

The bill passed by the Senate last week included funding for the TSA but continued to withhold funding from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). In contrast, the House passed a bill that funded both agencies. Americans are more likely to say that Congress should fund the government without funding for ICE than to say that a funding bill should include ICE funding (47% vs. 32%). Separately from the immediate issues raised by the shutdown, 49% of Americans think the government should increase spending on the TSA and only 8% say it should decrease spending; 25% support increasing spending for ICE while 46% support decreasing spending.

President Trump has suggested that a congressional vote on funding the government should include the SAVE Act, a bill that would introduce national voter ID restrictions. Americans are more likely to say that Congress should approve funding without agreeing to the SAVE Act than to say it should agree to the SAVE Act (34% vs. 27%).

When interpreting Americans’ views on airline safety and the partial government shutdown, it’s worth noting that most Americans don’t fly often. About three-quarters (73%) of Americans say they fly once a year or less and only 38% say they’ve flown in the last year. Still, most Americans have at least some experience with flying: Only 14% say they’ve never traveled in an airplane.

Quick takes

• 61% of Americans say gas prices are going up a lot where they live, while 24% say they’re going up a little and 5% say they’re not changing

• 29% of Republicans say the U.S. economy is getting better, down from 55% a month ago and lower than any other Economist / YouGov Poll since Trump’s second term began

• 28% of Americans say they have a great deal of confidence in the military, more than say so about small business (17%), ICE (12%), organized religion (11%), the TSA (9%), and the medical system (8%), among other institutions

• 62% of Americans say things in this country today are off on the wrong track and 27% say they’re generally headed in the right direction, a new low for Trump’s second term

• Only 22% of Americans strongly or somewhat support allowing transgender student athletes to play on sports teams that match their gender identity, rather than the sex they were assigned at birth, while 61% oppose it

• Twice as many Americans strongly or somewhat disapprove of Donald Trump’s handling of renovating the White House as approve of it (28% vs. 56%)

Final chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus the toplines and crosstabs for the March 27 - 30, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,679 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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It’s been quite the week here at The Surveyor!

• On Monday, we shared the results of a survey asking modern Americans a 1964 test about political ideology

• On Tuesday, we shared our latest weekly Economist / YouGov Poll, with findings about the 2026 midterms and the war with Iran

• Wednesday featured a survey inspired by the death of Paul Ehrlich, looking at beliefs about children and overpopulation

• Thursday’s newsletter considered the words of wisdom (or lack thereof) in famous proverbs

Besides those lead findings, this week’s newsletters included shorter descriptions of new YouGov polling about everything from ICE and elections to the U.S. military and Chuck Norris.

This newsletter began with a once-per-week frequency. Eventually it shifted to two per week, and sometimes three. This week you got five.

So our question for you is, how much YouGov polling do you want in your inbox? Do you want something new every day, or longer posts once or twice a week? What would make you most likely to read, subscribe, and recommend this newsletter to friends?

We’re genuinely curious for your feedback. (It’s kind of what we do.) Hop in the comments and let us know what you think!

Charting opinions

Three-quarters of Americans are concerned about the U.S. getting too involved in Iran

Three out of four U.S. adults are somewhat or very concerned about “the U.S. getting too involved in Iran” (75%) and slightly more are that concerned “about terror attacks on the U.S. as a result of the U.S. military action” (79%), according to the latest Yahoo/YouGov Poll. Nearly half of Americans say they are very concerned about each (43% about getting too involved, 40% about terror attacks).

These concerns are far more acute among Democrats, but even among Republicans, 56% are at least somewhat concerned about getting too involved in Iran and 74% are at least somewhat concerned about terror attacks. (Mark Blumenthal)

Quick takes

• Chatbots: 18% of Americans think they would be better at picking stocks than an AI chatbot, while 29% think they’d be worse

• Airport security: 40% of Americans say recent wait times to get through airport security have been among the longest they’ve ever been, while 25% say they’ve been longer than average and 8% about average. (Almost no one says they’ve been shorter than average.)

• Olympians: 52% of Americans either strongly support (39%) or somewhat support (12%) a ban on transgender athletes competing in women’s Olympic events, while 31% strongly oppose (20%) or somewhat oppose (11%) this

• Inflation: 54% of Americans say an effective president would be able to control inflation, and 24% say that is beyond any president’s control

Elsewhere

Polling abroad

• Do Britons support reparations for the slave trade in principle? (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• ​​How Americans feel about the DHS/TSA shutdown (FiftyPlusOne)

• CBS News poll analysis on what things AI, rather than people, should do (CBS News)

• AI is just another technology Americans don’t like but can’t stop using (Washington Post)

• AI Isn’t Making Us Dumber — We’re Already Blind: The Biological Death of Homo Lector (HackerNoon)

• What’s our big concern: overpopulation or underpopulation? You decide! (Concord Monitor)

Learn more and get in touch

Sign up to participate in our polls and share your opinions on the people, companies, and issues that shape your life and the world

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

They say good things come to those who wait. By “they” we mean the 57% who strongly or somewhat agree with that proverb, according to a new YouGov poll. But you don’t have to wait any longer, at least not if what you’re waiting for is polling about proverbs.

YouGov asked Americans whether they agree or disagree with 30 common proverbs, and found views ranging from near-unanimous agreement (92% agree that actions speak louder than words) to general disagreement (25% agree that might makes right).

Some popular proverbs urge good behavior, such as honesty is the best policy (84% agree) or that two wrongs do not make a right (80%), or warn against bad behavior, such as that power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely (73%) or that cheaters never prosper (53%).

Another popular proverb theme is urging patience and endurance: 78% agree that you shouldn’t count your chickens before they’re hatched, 67% that what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger, and 57% that good things come to those who wait.

Among financial advice, more people agree that a penny saved is a penny earned than that early to bed and early to rise makes a man healthy, wealthy, and wise (71% vs. 46%). But the benefits of any pennies or wealth accrued may be limited since 60% of Americans agree that money can’t buy happiness.

Some of the proverbs that Americans are more likely to disagree with are that you can’t teach an old dog new tricks (37% agree and 43% disagree), that the customer is always right (31% vs. 47%), and if you can’t beat them, join them (23% vs. 49%).

But since a picture is worth a thousand words (75% agree), take a look at the full chart:

Some of the 30 proverbs are more likely to be agreed with by men or women. For example, women are somewhat more likely than men to agree that good things come to those who wait (62% of women agree and 52% of men do) or that everything happens for a reason (68% vs. 58%).

Men are more likely than women to agree that nice guys finish last (42% of men agree and 26% of women do) and that sticks and stones may break my bones but words will never hurt me (45% vs. 35%).

What are your favorite or least favorite proverbs? Let us know in the comments!

See the results of this poll

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

Very few Americans know who Paul Ehrlich is.

YouGov asked Americans their opinion of Ehrlich, the controversial author of The Population Bomb who died this month. 80% of Americans say they don’t know, while another 10% have a very or somewhat favorable opinion of Ehrlich and the same share (10%) have an unfavorable opinion of him. Only 3% of Americans said they have read The Population Bomb, while another 13% said they are familiar with the book but haven’t read it.

But Ehrlich’s core argument — that overpopulation is a big problem that needs to be addressed — is more widely known than Ehrlich himself (and often associated with English economist Thomas Malthus). Americans are more likely to say overpopulation is a problem than they are to say low birth rates are. This is true when Americans are asked about the U.S.: 47% say overpopulation in the U.S. is a very or somewhat serious problem and 41% say low birth rates are. And it’s especially true when Americans are asked about the world as a whole: 62% say overpopulation is a big problem globally and 37% say low birth rates are.

Liberals are more likely than conservatives to say overpopulation is a problem, and less likely to say low birth rates are. But even conservatives are more likely to say overpopulation is a serious problem worldwide than to say low birth rates are.

Birth rates are declining in the U.S. and worldwide. A majority of Americans say the number of children being born is falling in the U.S. (56%, while 16% say it’s increasing). Americans are more closely divided over whether birth rates are declining worldwide (36% say they are, and 27% say they’re increasing). 29% of Americans incorrectly say the number of children being born in India, the world’s most populous country, is increasing, and only 12% correctly say it’s decreasing.

YouGov asked Americans whether they agree or disagree with eight statements from The Population Bomb, presented either verbatim or with minor editing for clarity. A majority agree that “Americans must change their way of living so as to minimize their impact on the world’s resources and environment” (61% strongly or somewhat agree, and 25% disagree). Two other Ehrlich statements see more agreement than disagreement: that “current rates of population growth guarantee an environmental crisis” (39% vs. 34%) and that “the birth rate must be brought into balance with the death rate or humanity will breed itself into oblivion” (41% vs. 35%).

More Americans disagree than agree with the five other Ehrlich quotes included in the survey, including that “we must have population control at home, hopefully through changes in our value system, but by compulsion if voluntary methods fail” (24% agree and 48% disagree), and that “there is not enough food today” (34% vs. 51%).

When it comes to their own lives, however, few Americans say they would prefer to have had fewer children. YouGov asked Americans how many children they have, and how many they would have had or eventually have in “an ideal world.” 48% of Americans say they’d ideally have the same number of children as they currently have. Only 5% say they’d prefer fewer children than they have. 47% of Americans say they would like more children than they have.

Among Americans with no children, 43% say they ideally would be childless, while 56% say they want one child (9%), two children (29%), or three or more children (20%).

See the results of this poll

Charting opinions

Three-quarters of Americans at least sometimes use other devices while watching movies or TV

Three-quarters (76%) of Americans say they use their cellphone or another device at least sometimes when they’re watching a movie or TV show at home. 12% say they always do this, while 33% often do it and 31% sometimes do. 51% of Americans who are between 45 and 64 years old always or often use their cellphone or another device when watching TV at home, a greater share than among older adults (39%) and younger ones (43%). (Jamie Ballard)

Vast majorities of Democrats and Republicans are concerned about technology’s effect on misinformation and personal privacy

Vast majorities of Americans are very or somewhat concerned about the effects of technology on misinformation (84%), personal privacy (83%), government surveillance (76%), children’s development (79%), radicalization and extremism (75%), and political polarization (74%).

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to be concerned about technology’s effect on the environment (75% vs. 39%), economic inequality (70% vs. 44%), and discrimination (70% vs. 44%). Republicans are more likely than Democrats to be concerned about technology’s effect on moral values (75% vs. 63%). (Jamie Ballard)

Quick takes

• Airplanes: 13% of Americans are afraid of flying in airplanes, while 30% are bothered by it and 49% aren’t afraid

• ICE: 42% of Americans strongly or somewhat support ICE agents being deployed to airports to help TSA agents during the partial government shutdown, and 41% oppose this

• Mail ballots: 24% of Americans believe mail-in ballots should have to arrive before Election Day, 31% say they should have to arrive by Election Day, and 31% say they should be counted even if they arrive after Election Day as long as they were postmarked by Election Day

• Cosby: 59% of Americans think Bill Cosby is guilty of sexual assault, while 5% say he’s innocent

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• Economist + YouGov on the midterms and Iran

• Yahoo + YouGov on money lessons to kids and family finances

Polling abroad

• First YouGov LSS election model in Denmark correctly projects losses for incumbent government and recovery of Danish People’s Party (YouGov Denmark)

Polling in the press

• How Trump’s AI posts are transforming politics (NJ.com)

• O’Reilly: ‘Becoming apparent’ Trump administration won’t be able to change Iran regime (The Hill)

• The long-standing Democratic advantage in party identification is gone (Good Authority)

• MAGA was never ‘anti-war’ (UnHerd)

• Midweek Update #3: For Now, This Looks Like Obama-Minus (And Trump Minus-Minus) (Phillips’s Newsletter)

Learn more and get in touch

Sign up to participate in our polls and share your opinions on the people, companies, and issues that shape your life and the world

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist/YouGov poll:

• Democrats’ lead for Congress has narrowed

• Nearly all Americans say the conflict with Iran is raising gas prices, but few expect Trump to back down

2026 midterms

This week’s Economist / YouGov Poll finds that 45% of registered voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress if the election were held today, while 42% say they would vote for the Republican candidate. This 3-point Democratic lead is among Democrats’ smallest advantages on congressional vote intention in months; 4- or 5-point Democratic leads have been more common, and Democrats have occasionally led by 6 or 7 points.

Democrats’ 3-point lead is only slightly larger than the 2-point lead Democrats had at this point in the 2022 and 2024 elections. In both of those elections, Republicans won small majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives.

The shrinking Democratic lead isn’t because fewer registered voters plan to vote for Democrats in the 2026 midterms. Since the February 6 - 9, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll, support for Democrats has risen to 45% from 44%. But support for Republicans has risen by more, to 42% from 38%. The share of registered voters who say that they don’t know for which party’s candidate they’d vote for Congress, that they’d vote for another candidate, or that they wouldn’t vote has fallen to 13% from 17% over the same span.

Republicans trail by only 3 points on the congressional ballot even though the share of registered voters who disapprove of Trump’s job performance is 13 points lower than the share who approve, amounting to a net approval of -13. (Among all U.S. adult citizens, Trump’s net job approval is -18.)

Democratic congressional candidates have a 79% to 6% advantage among the 56% of voters who strongly or somewhat disapprove of Trump’s job performance. But Republicans have an even bigger lead of 85% to 3% among registered voters who don’t disapprove of Trump’s job performance, including a lead of 88% to 3% among registered voters who approve of Trump’s job handling and of 53% to 13% among voters who say they aren’t sure whether they approve or disapprove of Trump’s job handling.

Trump gets even lower marks for his handling of economic areas than for his overall job handling. Trump is at record lows for his second term for net approval of his handling of the economy (-25) and foreign policy (-17), and near a record low for his handling of inflation (-34).

Republicans are currently winning the votes of a small but significant share of voters who disapprove of how Trump is handling these issues. For example, 13% of registered voters who disapprove of how Trump is handling the economy say they’ll vote for a Republican candidate for Congress, while only 3% of those who approve of Trump’s handling of the economy say they’ll vote for a Democrat.

Iran

Donald Trump’s handling of the Iran conflict remains unpopular according to this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll: 36% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve and 55% disapprove. That’s close to the findings last week, when 36% approved and 56% disapproved.

Nearly all Americans say the conflict with Iran is raising gas prices, including 69% who say it’s raising gas prices a lot and 20% that it’s raising gas prices a little. 2% say it’s not raising gas prices and almost no one — 0% after rounding — says it’s decreasing gas prices.

Americans are also more likely than not to expect Trump to continue the Iran conflict until the U.S. achieves its objectives: 49% say Trump won’t back out early, and only 21% say he will. Most Republicans say Trump won’t back out (71%, while only 10% say he will), while Democrats are closely divided (36% say Trump won’t back out and 31% say he will).

Many Americans believe the U.S. should not go it alone in Iran. A majority of Americans say the U.S. needs help from allies, and many say that other countries have a responsibility to help keep the Strait of Hormuz open. But the share of Americans who say that other countries should agree to help the U.S. is lower. Most Americans say that countries should not help an ally if it means contradicting their values.

A majority (56%) of Americans say the U.S. needs help from allies, while only 20% say it does not. These shares are similar among Democrats (60%), Independents (51%), and Republicans (57%). Majorities of both those Republicans who say they are MAGA supporters (59%) and non-MAGA supporters (55%) say the U.S. needs help from allies. (65% of Republicans say they are MAGA supporters while 26% say they are not; 9% are not sure.)

Americans think help should come on one major challenge arising from the Iran conflict. They are far more likely to say that other countries have a responsibility to help the U.S. military stop Iran from closing the Strait of Hormuz to oil-tanker traffic (40%) than they are to say that only the U.S. has a responsibility to stop Iran from closing the strait (15%). 19% say that neither the U.S. nor other countries have such a responsibility.

But while more than half (56%) of Americans say the U.S. needs help from allies, not quite as many (47%) say that U.S. allies should agree to help the U.S. if asked. A quarter (26%) say that allies should not help the U.S. Vast majorities of those who say allies should not help the U.S. disapprove of Trump’s handling of foreign policy and say the war in Iran is not justified (94% and 92%), suggesting that this group is largely made up of Americans who do not want other countries to become involved in what they view as flawed policies and an unjust war.

Views on whether allies should help the U.S. are highly polarized. While the vast majority (80%) of Republicans say that allies should help the U.S., only 25% of Democrats and 37% of Independents say the same. Nearly half (44%) of Democrats say allies should not help, as do 30% of Independents but only 5% of Republicans. There is also a split among Republicans: An overwhelming majority (90%) of Republican MAGA supporters say that U.S. allies should help the U.S. if asked, while only 62% of non-MAGA Republicans say the same.

There is more support among Americans for the U.S. coming to its allies’ aid than the other way around. A majority (61%) of Americans say that the U.S. should agree to help its allies if they ask for help. Only 9% of Americans say it should not. Republicans (76%) are more likely to say the U.S. should help when asked than are Democrats (57%) or Independents (51%). And MAGA Republicans are more likely than non-MAGA Republicans to say the U.S. should help allies (81% vs. 66%). Yet in some specific contexts, Republicans and especially those who are MAGA supporters have been less likely to support U.S. aid for allies. For example, both groups are more likely to favor reducing military aid to Ukraine. This difference could stem from Republicans and especially MAGA supporters being more likely to say allies should agree to help the U.S. — which was asked about in the question immediately preceding this one — and therefore, in the spirit of reciprocity, more likely to say the U.S. should help its allies. 86% of Republicans who say allies should help the U.S. say the U.S. should help allies who ask for aid. It also could be because the context of the war in Iran makes Americans think about allies that Republicans are more inclined than Democrats to support — such as Israel and the Gulf states — while that isn’t the case with the war in Ukraine.

If majorities of Americans say that the U.S. needs help from allies, why do many — particularly among Democrats and Independents — say that allies shouldn’t help? One figure that may help shed light on this is that most Americans (71%) say their view is closest to the position that countries should stick to their values when deciding foreign policy, even if it means they have to refuse an ally’s request for aid. Less than one-third (29%) of Americans say that instead their view is closest to the opinion that countries should always aid an ally, even if it means engaging in foreign policy that contradicts their values. Since vast majorities of those Americans who say allies should not help the U.S. say the war in Iran is not justified and say their view is closest to the opinion that “countries should stick to their values when deciding foreign policy, even if it means they have to refuse an ally’s request for aid” (92% and 88%), much of this group may view an ally assisting the U.S. as compromising its values.

Though most Americans believe countries should not help allies when it contradicts their values, Republicans (57%) are much less likely to see this as closest to their views than are Democrats (81%) and Independents (76%). This difference is mostly driven by MAGA supporters. About half (51%) of MAGA Republicans say countries should always aid an ally, even if it means contradicting their values. In contrast, only one-quarter (26%) of non-MAGA Republicans say this, similar to the small shares of Democrats (19%) and Independents (24%) who say countries should compromise their values if needed to help allies.

Only 35% of Americans strongly or somewhat support Trump’s handling of relations with foreign allies, while 53% disapprove.

Who do Americans think stands to benefit from the war? A majority (55%) of Americans say that Israel will benefit from the war, compared to 33% who say it will suffer. Similarly, Americans are more likely to say that Donald Trump will benefit than suffer (48% vs. 29%). But majorities of Americans say that the U.S. (59%) will suffer from the war. Majorities also think the Iranian people (66%) and Iran (80%) will suffer. Past YouGov polling has found that most Americans have negative opinions about the Iranian government but many have positive views about the Iranian people and this week’s poll found that 81% of Americans say the Iranian people should decide who leads the country.

Views on whether the U.S. will benefit or suffer from the war are polarized by party identification and MAGA support. Most Democrats (83%) and Independents (64%) say the U.S. will suffer from the war in Iran, but few Republicans (29%) say the same. About half (52%) of Republicans say the U.S. will benefit, including 65% of MAGA Republicans but only 27% of non-MAGA Republicans.

Quick Takes

• 5% of Americans want the U.S. to use military force more often, 54% want it to use force less often, and 28% want it to use force about as much as it does now

• 42% of Americans say AI companies have too much influence over the U.S. government, more than say that about gun organizations (37%), supporters of Israel (36%), religious groups (29%), unions (21%), environmental groups (20%), supporters of Palestine (19%), teachers (12%), and doctors (8%)

• The U.S.’s oil blockade of Cuba is strongly or somewhat supported by 24% of Americans, while 39% oppose it and 38% aren’t sure

• 55% of Americans would strongly or somewhat oppose the U.S. using military force to overthrow the Cuban government, while only 22% would support this

• 45% of Americans say the U.S. should be the dominant power in the western hemisphere, and 30% say it shouldn’t be

• 30% of Americans say terrorism poses an immediate and serious threat to the U.S., including 48% of those who say the war with Iran is justified. 37% of Americans say terrorism poses a somewhat serious threat, 20% say it poses a minor threat, and 5% say it poses no threat to the U.S.

• 35% of Americans — including 22% of Democrats and 56% of Republicans — are completely or somewhat satisfied with the way democracy is working in the U.S.; 54% are dissatisfied

Final chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See the toplines and crosstabs for the March 20 - 23, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,665 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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What beliefs make someone a liberal?

Here at YouGov, we often take the direct approach and just ask Americans if they are liberal, conservative, or moderate. But 60 years ago, the conservative philosopher James Burnham said he had a more accurate way.

“Liberalism has no single, accepted and authoritative book or person or committee that is recognized as giving the final word: no Bible, Pope nor Presidium,” Burnham wrote in his 1964 book Suicide of the West. “Nevertheless, liberalism does constitute in its own terms a fairly cohesive body of doctrine, cluster of feelings and code of practice.”

Specifically, Burnham said he had devised a set of 39 sentences, each of them assertions about politics and ideology that people could either agree or disagree with (”without worrying over fine points,” Burnham added).

Burnham’s sentences include, “We always ought to respect the religious beliefs of others,” “Steps toward world disarmament would be a good thing,” and “Everyone has the right to equal pay for equal work.”

Burnham said that self-defined liberals almost always agree with at least 85% of the statements, and often with a full 100% of them, while self-defined conservatives often disagree with “many or most of them.”

To find out whether Burnham’s assertions hold true in the 2020s, YouGov asked Americans whether they agreed with adapted versions of Burnham’s sentences. We modernized some of the language, so respondents could focus on the content of the sentence and not old-fashioned phrasing. We also generalized a few sentences that directly described 1960s controversies to be more broadly applicable. And we dropped two of the sentences about 1960s controversies that couldn’t be easily generalized.

We find most Americans (83%) strongly or somewhat agree with at least a majority of these 37 statements, including 72% of Americans who call themselves very conservative and 80% of those who say they’re conservative but not very conservative. But Americans who call themselves liberal or very liberal agree with more statements, on average. 62% of those who say they’re very liberal agree with at least 85% of the statements, as do 56% of those who say they’re liberal but not very liberal. Only 26% of moderates, 12% of conservatives, and 8% of those who are very conservative agree with at least that many statements. (People who said they strongly or somewhat disagree with a statement, are not sure, or skip responding all are counted as having not agreed.)

Among liberals and moderates, there are only minor differences between the shares of the statements that younger and older Americans agree with. But 49% of conservatives under 45 agree with at least 70% of the statements, compared to 32% of conservatives 45 and older. (This includes both those whose ideology is very conservative and those whose ideology is conservative but not very conservative.)

Some of Burnham’s statements are about equally likely to be agreed to by liberals and conservatives. Almost all in each group agree that “everyone has the right to freedom of opinion and expression,” that “everyone has the right to freedom of thought, conscience and expression,” and that “everyone is entitled to their own opinion.” Most also agree that “the national government should guarantee that all adult citizens, except for criminals and the insane, should have the right to vote.” And equal shares of liberals and conservatives disagree that “if reasonable compensation is made, the government of a nation has the legal and moral right to seize private property within its borders, whether owned by citizens or foreigners.”

But many of the other sentences show considerable differences in the shares of liberals and conservatives who agree. 59% of liberals and only 19% of conservatives agree that “progressive income and inheritance taxes are the fairest form of taxation.” 81% of liberals and 46% of conservatives agree that “the chief sources of delinquency and crime are ignorance, discrimination, poverty and exploitation.” And 96% of liberals and 61% of conservatives agree that “the government has a duty to provide for the ill, aged, unemployed and poor if they cannot take care of themselves.”

You can see the full results for all 37 statements in this PDF, or in charts of the overall results or the results among liberals and conservatives.

Quick takes

• Military branches: 23% of Americans say the Army is the most important branch of the U.S. military, more than say the Air Force (18%), Marine Corps (12%), Navy (10%), Coast Guard (3%), or Space Force (2%). In the UK, the top picks were the Royal Air Force (22%), the Army (21%), and the Royal Navy (16%)

• TACO? If the conflict with Iran is hurting the U.S. economy before the U.S. achieves its military goals, 50% of Americans think Trump would continue the conflict and 26% think he would try to end it

• Invasion: 57% of Americans say they would support — with or without reservations — the U.S. sending ground forces to seize control of part of Iran, higher than the 48% who say so about seizing Cuba, 31% about Greenland, and 24% about Canada

• Regulation: 59% of Americans say AI should be much more regulated, the highest by far of 45 industries asked about. For each of the industries, Americans are more likely to favor more regulation than less

• Chuck Norris: 45% of Americans say what they most associate with Chuck Norris is his martial arts, followed by 27% who say his acting, 11% saying internet memes, and 4% his political activism

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• CBS + YouGov on Iran

• Yahoo + YouGov on Trump and gas prices

Polling abroad

• Policing and crime in England and Wales: the public view (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Many Americans support renaming Cesar Chavez sites after abuse claims: Poll (The Hill)

• Trump’s Disastrous War Comes Home to Roost (The Contrarian | Substack)

• CHEAT SHEET: Every Argument For & Against Trump’s “SAVE America Act” (‘Voter I.D.’) (Van Jones | Substack)

• Food prices too high to stomach? Home-cooked meals are having a moment (USA Today)

• Shock Over What Flyer Does During Short Flight: ‘Incredibly Rude’ (Newsweek)

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In the wake of sexual abuse allegations against civil rights leader Cesar Chavez, many Americans now want to rename schools, streets, and other things bearing Chavez’s name, a new YouGov poll finds.

This sentiment is widespread despite close to half the country not being familiar with the allegations against Chavez at the time of YouGov’s poll, conducted Thursday afternoon through Friday morning. 13% had heard a lot about the allegations, 39% a little, and 47% nothing at all.

After being told about the allegations, 52% of Americans support renaming things bearing Chavez’s name. That includes 22% who say they never should have been named after Chavez and 29% who supported naming things for him before the allegations but now support renaming. Renaming is supported by 62% of those who’ve heard a little about Chavez’s allegations and 76% of those who’ve heard a lot.

Only 11% of Americans oppose renaming things with Chavez’s name. The ratio of support to opposition for removing Chavez’s name is greater than three among men and women, among Hispanic Americans, and among liberals, moderates, and conservatives. The ratio of support to opposition also is three or greater among Hispanic men under 45, older Hispanic men, Hispanic women under 45, and older Hispanic women.

In a June 2025 poll conducted before the sexual abuse allegations, 27% of Americans said public places should be named after Chavez and 26% said they should not be.

Half of Americans don’t have a strong opinion about Chavez, but those who do are now much more likely to view him negatively than positively: 17% of Americans have a very or somewhat favorable view of Chavez, while 33% have an unfavorable view of him and 50% aren’t sure.

Dolores Huerta, Chavez’s fellow civil rights leader who this week accused him of sexual abuse, is even less well-known: 69% of Americans aren’t sure what their opinion of her is. But while those who do have an opinion about Chavez are more likely to have a negative one, twice as many Americans have a favorable view of Huerta as an unfavorable view (20% vs. 11%)

Among the minority of Americans who’ve heard a lot about the allegations against Chavez, things are much starker. In this group, Chavez is overwhelmingly unpopular (22% favorable vs. 66% unfavorable), while Huerta is fairly popular (50% vs. 20%).

YouGov asked respondents their views of Chavez and Huerta before telling them about the sexual abuse allegations.

Chavez’s net favorability — the share with a favorable opinion minus the share with an unfavorable opinion — is -45 among Americans who have heard a lot about the allegations, -29 among those who’ve heard a little about them, and +2 among those who had heard nothing at all.

This split holds true across racial, gender, and political groups. Among Hispanics, for example, Chavez’s net favorability is +19 with those who haven’t heard about the allegations, -14 among those who have heard a little, and -46 among those who have heard a lot.

Chavez is more popular among liberals than conservatives. But in both groups, Chavez is much less popular among those who’ve heard of the sexual abuse allegations. For example, among very liberal Americans, Chavez’s net favorability is +19 with those who haven’t heard about the allegations and -42 with those who’ve heard a lot. Among very conservative Americans, his net favorability is -11 among those who haven’t heard of the allegations and -49 among those who’ve heard a lot.

See the full results of this survey:

• Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Cesar Chavez?

• Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of Dolores Huerta?

• How much have you heard about recent allegations that Cesar Chavez sexually abused girls and women while working as a civil rights activist?

• In light of the allegations of sexual abuse, should schools, streets, and other things named after Cesar Chavez be renamed?

Charting opinions

More Americans disapprove than approve of the U.S. blocking oil shipments to Cuba and the U.S. embargo

Nearly half (46%) of Americans somewhat or strongly disapprove of the U.S.’s current policy of blocking oil shipments to Cuba from other countries. Only about one-quarter (28%) approve. Most Democrats (74%) disapprove — only 8% approve — and Independents are more likely to disapprove than approve (44% vs. 20%). On the other hand, a majority (59%) of Republicans approve and only 19% disapprove. (Alexander Rossell Hayes)

Majorities of Americans think Donald Trump is arrogant, opportunistic, and reckless

The description Americans are most likely to say applies a lot to Donald Trump — from 22 options — is arrogant (65%). Majorities also say opportunistic (57%), reckless (56%), dishonest (54%), and corrupt (54%) are descriptions that apply a lot to Trump.

Which words do Americans say don’t apply to Trump at all? Majorities say the words compassionate (57%), inspirational (57%), honest (54%), and likable (54%) don’t apply to him at all. (Jamie Ballard)

Quick takes

• Iran: 32% of Americans — include 58% of Democrats and 6% of Republicans — say the U.S. conflict with Iran is going very badly, while 15% say it’s going somewhat badly, 11% neither well nor badly, 13% somewhat well, and 15% very well

• Gas: 44% of Americans say gas prices affect them a lot, while 37% say it affects them a little and 12% not at all

• Baseball: Between the World Series and the World Baseball Classic, 34% of Americans say the World Series is more exciting, 5% say the WBC is, and 16% say both are equally exciting

• World Cup: 25% of Americans plan to watch some of the 2026 World Cup, and 61% do not plan to

• Brackets: 17% of Americans say they filled out a bracket for college basketball’s March Madness this year, including 10% who did so for a chance to win money and 7% who are doing it just for fun

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• The Economist + YouGov on the economy, Trump, and voting

• CBS + YouGov on the SAVE Act and voting

• Yahoo + YouGov on talking finances with kids

Polling abroad

• Policing and crime in England and Wales: the public view (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Opinion | The Manosphere Continues to Devolve (New York Times)

• Trump’s hand-picked panel votes to put his face on U.S. gold coin (Washington Post)

• Forget the “MAGA split” on Iran. It’s the independents and soft partisans that matter. (Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris’s Substack)

• Costco Lines, Canceled Trips, Fuel Rewards: Americans Hunt for Cheap Gas (Bloomberg)

• Debunking the Five Love Languages (Conversations By The Sea | Ellen Forster’s Substack)

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• For information on privacy, please read our privacy notice

Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll:

• Americans suddenly are more likely to see the economy getting worse

• Trump is losing support from Independents over Iran

• Most Americans support proof of citizenship to vote, but limiting use of mail-in ballots is more divisive

The economy

With gas prices rising due to the U.S. conflict with Iran, Americans are quickly becoming more negative about the U.S. economy. This week’s Economist / YouGov Poll finds 59% of Americans say the economy is getting worse, in response to a question asked almost every week since 2017. That’s the highest share to say this on any Economist / YouGov Poll since October 2022, and is up from 53% last week. The 6-point jump in one week is large: Only seven Economist / YouGov Polls since 2017 have recorded larger one-week jumps in the share of Americans saying the economy is getting worse. Four of those seven were in spring 2020, when the U.S. economy ground to a halt after the arrival of COVID-19.

The share of Americans who say the economy is getting better fell to 16% from 20% last week. That’s the lowest share of Americans to say this since spring 2024.

Weekly indicators on the poll can fluctuate, and big one-week moves can reverse the following week. That has happened at times with Donald Trump job approval.

Almost all Democrats say the economy is getting worse, as was true last week (86% say this now, 85% said so last week). The rise in Americans saying the economy is getting worse is driven by Independents (66% this week, 56% last week) and Republicans (24% vs. 18%). 18% of Republicans who say they’re MAGA supporters say the economy is getting worse, up from 11%; 41% of non-MAGA Republicans say this, up from 30%.

Responses to other economic questions on this week’s survey also show rising concern about the economy. 30% of Americans expect that a year from now their household will be worse off financially, up from 23% last week. The share saying they expect to be better off financially has fallen to 23% from 25%.

The 7-point gap between the shares of Americans who expect to be worse off financially and of those who expect to be better off is the largest in any Economist / YouGov Poll since it began asking this question almost every week in July 2024.

Almost all Americans say gas prices are rising. 55% say gas prices are rising a lot in their area, while 32% say they’re rising a little. Only 4% say gas prices are falling a little or a lot.

This week’s poll finds a strong correlation between how Americans view gas prices and how they view the overall economy. Among Americans who say gas prices are up a lot, 76% say the economy is getting worse — compared to only 39% of those who say gas prices are up a little.

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say gas prices are up a lot, but the relationship between views on gas prices and the economy holds among Republicans, too. 15% of Republicans who say gas prices are up a little also say the economy is getting worse, compared to 36% of Republicans who say gas prices are up a lot. And the effect isn’t driven by MAGA support: Republicans who are and aren’t supporters of MAGA are equally likely to say gas prices are going up a lot, and to say they’re going up a little.

The correlation between these two survey questions does not necessarily mean that belief about gas prices are causing beliefs about the overall economy.

Trump and Iran

A majority of Americans continue to disapprove of how Donald Trump is doing his job as president, in line with trends from the past few months. In this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll, 37% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job handling, while 56% disapprove — a net job approval of -18 after rounding. The last time a three-week average of Trump’s net job approval was higher than -15 was September 2025.

More Americans disapprove than approve of how Trump is handling all seven issues asked about on this week’s poll. Trump gets the highest net approval for his handling of crime: 43% approve and 47% disapprove, for a net approval of -4. On each of crime, immigration, and the military, more Americans approve of how Trump is handling each of those issues than approve of his overall job performance. Approval of his handling of each of the environment, race relations, the situation in Iran, and investigations into Jeffrey Epstein is lower than Trump’s overall approval.

Trump’s net approval of -20 for handling the situation in Iran represents a drop from last week’s poll. Then, 39% of Americans approved of how Trump was handling Iran and 52% disapproved — a net approval of -13.

The decline in approval of Trump’s handling of Iran is almost entirely among Independents. Almost all Democrats disapprove of how Trump is handling Iran, and almost all Republicans approve; neither number changed much from week to week. But opinion among Independents of how Trump’s handling Iran fell to 24% approve / 63% disapprove (-39 net) this week from 30% approve / 53% disapprove last week (-23 net).

Independents also have a worsening outlook about the effect of U.S. military intervention on Iran. 50% of them expect the intervention to worsen the situation in Iran and only 18% expect an improvement. A week earlier, 40% of Independents expected the intervention to make things worse and 24% expected it to make things better. Unlike with Trump’s handling of Iran, in this case Democratic and Republican opinion also has gotten worse, though not by as much as among Independents. 72% of Democrats expect things to get worse because of the intervention, up from 64% last week. And 55% of Republicans expect improvement, down from 64% last week.

Other opinions show the extent of opposition to conflict with Iran and doubts about its success. Only 33% of Americans strongly or somewhat support the war with Iran, while 56% oppose it. 61% want to prioritize ending the war as quickly as possible while only 24% would prioritize continuing to fight until all U.S. objectives have been achieved. Only 32% are confident in Trump’s ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, while 56% are uneasy about his approach. And 46% think the U.S. is responsible for the February 28 missile strike on a girls’ elementary school in southern Iran that killed about 165 people, while only 17% say the U.S. isn’t responsible; 37% aren’t sure.

Elections and the SAVE Act

Americans are divided over whether non-citizens voting in U.S. elections is a serious problem, but most Americans strongly or somewhat support requiring proof of citizenship in order to register to vote, this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll finds.

29% of Americans say non-citizens voting in U.S. elections is a very serious problem, and 16% say it’s somewhat serious. Another 16% say it’s not a very serious problem, and 27% say it’s not a problem at all. 82% of Republicans say non-citizen voting is at least a somewhat serious problem, while only 13% of Democrats do.

Republicans who say they are MAGA supporters are especially likely to say non-citizen voting is a very serious problem: 64% of them say so, compared to 36% of non-MAGA Republicans.

Americans are twice as likely to support as to oppose requiring everyone to provide proof of citizenship in order to register to vote: 59% strongly or somewhat support this, and 29% oppose it.

Almost all (91%) of Republicans support a proof-of-citizenship requirement, while Democrats are divided on the issue: 35% support it and 53% oppose. Independents are more likely to support than oppose such a law (52% vs. 31%).

Support for requiring proof of citizenship is very high among those who say non-citizens voting is a very serious problem (92%) and a somewhat serious problem (88%). Most Americans who say non-citizen voting is not a problem at all oppose requiring proof of citizenship (21% support and 71%) oppose). But the swing group of Americans who say non-citizen voting is a problem but not a very serious one are slightly more likely to support than oppose requiring proof of citizenship (46% vs. 41%).

Requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration is one of the provisions in the SAVE Act, a proposed election law supported by President Donald Trump and being considered by the U.S. Senate.

Another provision of the bill — limiting the use of mail-in ballots to people who are ill, disabled, traveling, or members of the military — is less popular than a proof-of-citizenship requirement. 41% of Americans say the use of mail-in ballots should be limited and 44% say they should not be. Most Democrats oppose this law (14% support it and 76% oppose it) and most Republicans support it (74% vs. 13%). Almost all MAGA Republicans say the use of mail-in ballots should be limited (81% vs. 7%), while non-MAGA Republicans support restrictions in less overwhelming numbers (59% vs. 29%).

Younger adults are less likely than older Americans to support limiting the use of mail-in ballots. Among adults under 30, 26% say the use of mail-in ballots should be limited and 49% say they shouldn’t — a margin of -23. Among those 65 and older, 48% support and 43% oppose, a margin of +5.

Quick Takes

• 23% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of the U.S. using military force to overthrow the government of Cuba, while 53% oppose it. That’s similar to opinion among Hispanic Americans (25% support, 51% oppose)

• Net approval of JD Vance’s job handling is better than Trump’s: 37% approve, 48% disapprove, for a net approval of -11. Vance’s net favorability is worse: 35% have a very or somewhat favorable view of him and 52% an unfavorable one, for a net of -17

• 27% of Republicans say their most important issue is inflation/prices, up from 21% last week but below peak levels for Trump’s second term of above 30% several weeks last year

Final Chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery and Carl Bialik

See the toplines and crosstabs for the March 13 - 16, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,595 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3.5%.

What do you really think about President Trump, American politics in general, and everything else? Share your reality, join the YouGov panel, and get paid to share your thoughts. Sign up here.

The Academy Awards are this Sunday, and just under one-third of the country plans to tune in for all (10%) or some (21%) of the show. 59% of Americans say they’re definitely not going to watch, and 9% aren’t sure.

YouGov’s polling shows a big split in interest in this year’s Oscar-nominated films. Half (52%) of Americans haven’t seen any of the 10 movies nominated for Best Picture. Among those who say they’re not going to watch the Oscars, the share who haven’t seen any of the nominees is 66%.

But among the 10% of the country who is planning to watch all of the Academy Awards, only 12% haven’t seen any of the Best Picture nominees. 32% of them have seen five or more.

As Jamie Ballard writes for YouGov, the Best Picture nominee Americans are most likely to have watched is Sinners, which 28% of Americans say they’ve seen. 25% say they’ve watched Frankenstein, though the question did not specify that it was asking about the 2025 Guillermo del Toro-directed version and not other Frankenstein adaptations. 14% have seen F1, and 14% have seen One Battle after Another. Only 6% have seen Train Dreams, and 3% have seen Sentimental Value.

Sinners is also the Best Picture nominee that the largest share of Americans want to win. 19% say it should win, higher than the 7% who say that of Frankenstein, 6% of F1, and 4% of One Battle after Another.

These polls of the American population don’t have a consistent track record of predicting actual winners. In 2025, only 2% of Americans predicted “Anora” would win Best Picture. In 2024, 24% correctly guessed “Oppenheimer” would win.

See more in our full article about the 2026 Academy Awards.

Charting opinions

A majority of Americans approve of Kristi Noem’s firing, but how many approve depends on how they’re asked

53% of Americans say they somewhat or strongly approve of “the decision” to fire Noem, but 60% say they approve of “President Trump’s decision” to fire her. The share who disapprove of the decision is the same for both versions: 11%. Half (50%) of Republicans approve of the decision to fire Noem when Trump is not mentioned, but nearly two-thirds (64%) approve of “President Trump’s decision” to fire her. (Alexander Rossell Hayes)

The government agency Americans are most likely to see as trustworthy is the National Park Service

Americans are twice as likely to say Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is untrustworthy or very untrustworthy (50%) as they are to say it’s trustworthy or very trustworthy (26%). Other parts of the government that Americans are more likely to find untrustworthy than trustworthy are the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) (41% vs. 28%), and the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) (36% vs. 26%).

Which agencies are Americans most likely to see as trustworthy? A majority (57%) say the National Park Service is trustworthy or very trustworthy. Slightly fewer (52%) see the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) as trustworthy (35%) or very trustworthy (17%). (Jamie Ballard)

Quick takes

• Taxes: 35% of Americans say they’ve already filed their taxes, while 21% are working on it, 21% haven’t started working on it but plan to file, and 13% don’t plan to file taxes this year

• Taxis: 52% of Americans say they never use taxis or ride-hailing apps — including 73% of those 65 and older, 60% of 45- to 64-year-olds, 44% of 30- to 44-year-olds, and 28% of 18- to 29-year-olds

• Morals: 86% of Americans say the morals of people they know are good or very good, while 74% say that of people in their community, 48% of people in the U.S., and 43% of people in the world

• Regret: 16% of Americans say they think one or both of their parents regretted having them, and 63% say they don’t

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• The Economist + YouGov on Trump’s job handling, Iran, and AI

• Yahoo + YouGov on socializing

Polling abroad

• Most Britons now believe World War 3 is likely in the next few years (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Lost Latino love could cost Republicans the midterms (Economist)

• Majority of Americans approve of Noem firing: Poll (The Hill)

• Will Iran break MAGA? (Silver Bulletin | Substack)

• They want a second baby. But even with $100K, they can’t afford it. (USA Today)

• Woman’s Plane Trip Cut Short After She Can’t Handle Being Told To Use Headphones (Bored Panda)

Learn more and get in touch

Sign up to participate in our polls and share your opinions on the people, companies, and issues that shape your life and the world

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• For information on privacy, please read our privacy notice

Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll:

• Donald Trump’s job approval bounces back somewhat but remains low

• Americans think the war with Iran will last months or more

• Many Americans think AI companies should be able to limit how the U.S. military uses their tools

Plus more polling on the firing of Kristi Noem, the economy, government spending, and more.

Trump

Last week’s Economist / YouGov Poll found that Donald Trump’s net job approval fell to a record-low -21 — meaning the share of Americans who approved of Trump’s job handling was 21 percentage points smaller than the share who disapproved. We noted this record, but also cautioned that polls are volatile and that “declines in approval one week are often associated with increases the next week.”

This week’s poll finds that 40% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job handling and 55% disapprove, for a net job approval of -14 after rounding. That’s 7 points higher than last week. But just as it would have been an overreaction to call last week’s drop a sign that Trump was in trouble, it would be an overreaction to say today’s jump means Trump is back. Trump’s job approval might come out higher or lower in individual polls, but the three-week rolling average of his net job approval has been around -17 or -18 for several months. Economist / YouGov polls have a margin of error of around 3.5 percentage points, meaning both this week’s net approval of -14 and last week’s -21 are within the margin of error of the -17 or -18 average net approval.

Put another way, most polls in recent months show around 39% or 40% of Americans approve of Trump’s job handling, and about 56% or 57% disapproving.

There has been some change in the intensity of Americans’ feelings about Trump’s job handling. 48% of Americans strongly disapprove of Trump and 7% somewhat approve, meaning 88% of those who disapprove of Trump do so strongly. That’s a record high for Trump’s second term (the high in his first term, 91%, came near its end).

In contrast, 23% of Americans strongly approve of Trump’s job handling and 17% somewhat approve. That means 58% of those who approve of Trump do so strongly. This is higher than his second-term record low of 48% in December 2025, but down from 69% at the start of Trump’s second term.

Iran

More than half (54%) of Americans say they were not surprised that Trump ordered military strikes on Iran. Only 12% say they were very surprised. This matches Economist polling from two weeks ago that found a majority (58%) of Americans thought that it was somewhat or very likely that the U.S. would take military action against Iran within the next month. Democrats (18%) were slightly more likely to be very surprised by the strikes than Independents (13%) or Republicans (6%), but half or more of all three groups say the strikes were not surprising.

More Americans expected imminent attacks on Iran than thought Iran posed an immediate threat to the U.S.: Only one-quarter (25%) of Americans say that Iran posed an immediate threat. A larger share (38%) say that Iran posed a threat but not an immediate threat. About one-quarter (23%) say that Iran did not pose a threat. Republicans (53%) are much more likely than Independents (17%) and Democrats (7%) to say Iran posed an immediate threat.

A majority of Americans say that Trump should have sought congressional authorization before ordering strikes on Iran (56%). Only about one-quarter (28%) say he should not have sought authorization. These views are highly polarized by party. Almost all Democrats (93%) say Trump should have sought congressional authorization. A majority (56%) of Independents say the same, while only 22% say he should not have sought authorization. In contrast, a majority (63%) of Republicans say Trump should not have sought congressional authorization and only 20% say he should have.

Despite statements from Trump that fighting in Iran could end quickly, most Americans (80%) say the war in Iran will last for more than a month: 47% think it will last for between one month and one year, while 32% think it will last for more than a year. Democrats (45%) and Independents (37%) are much more likely than Republicans (13%) to predict the war will last more than a year. But majorities of all three groups expect the war to last for more than a month.

One factor that could shape the length of the war is the U.S.’s demands. Trump has said that he will demand an unconditional surrender. That means he would not stop fighting until Iran agrees to all U.S. conditions without any negotiations. Americans are split over whether the U.S. should demand unconditional surrender. One-third (33%) say the U.S. should demand this, a slightly smaller share (27%) say the U.S. should not, and 40% are not sure. Democrats and Independents both are more likely to say the U.S. shouldn’t demand an unconditional surrender than to say it should. But most Republicans (63%) say the U.S. should demand an unconditional surrender while only 10% say it shouldn’t.

An unconditional surrender would mean that the U.S. could shape Iran’s next government, but most Americans say that the country’s leader should be decided by the Iranian people, not by the U.S. government (76% vs. 6%). Republicans (69%) are less likely to take this stance than Democrats (85%) or Independents (75%). Despite this, only 10% of Republicans think the U.S. government should select Iran’s next leader. (After the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s current government selected Mojtaba Khamenei, the former ayatollah’s son, as its next leader. This decision was not made by the Iranian people or the U.S. government.)

While most Americans support the self-determination of the Iranian people, slightly more Americans think the U.S. military intervention in Iran will worsen the situation for the Iranian people than think it will improve the situation (37% vs. 31%). 16% of Americans think it will neither improve nor worsen the situation. Most Democrats (64%) think that the intervention will worsen the situation and only 4% say it will improve things. Independents are also more likely to say it will worsen the situation than to say it will improve it (40% vs. 24%). In contrast, most Republicans (64%) think the intervention will improve the situation and only 8% say it will worsen things.

Closer to home, Americans may be concerned about the effects the conflict in Iran will have on the U.S. economy

• Global oil shipments have slowed because of the fighting, which may exacerbate gas prices. Most Americans (70%) say that gas prices have gone up in the last year, including 35% who say they have gone up a lot

• A majority (57%) of Americans expect that prices in general will be higher 12 months from now than they are today. Only 12% expect them to be lower

• Most Americans (70%) say that the economy is currently fair or poor. Only 27% say it is good or excellent

• A majority (53%) of Americans say the economy is getting worse. Only 20% say it is getting better

• One third (33%) of Americans say the U.S. economy is currently in a recession. A further one-quarter (25%) say a recession is somewhat or very likely in the next year

Americans’ concerns about the situation in Iran and the economy at home may help to explain why more Americans disapprove than approve of Trump’s handling of the situation in Iran. About half (52%) of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of Iran, while 39% approve. Both approval and disapproval of Trump’s handling of Iran have increased since February, when 31% of Americans approved and 48% disapproved. As it was in February, approval today is highly polarized by party. Almost all Democrats (92%) disapprove of Trump’s handling, while most Republicans (83%) approve. Independents are more likely to disapprove than to approve (53% vs. 30%).

AI

Americans are more likely to expect negative than positive effects from artificial intelligence (AI), and are more likely to support than oppose limits on the use of AI tools by the U.S. military, the latest Economist / YouGov poll finds.

Three times as many Americans expect the effects of AI on society to be entirely (14%) or mostly (33%) negative as expect them to be entirely (3%) or mostly (12%) positive (47% vs. 16%). Another 27% expect the effects to be equally positive and negative. (Results are similar for AI’s effects on the economy.)

Most people who haven’t used AI themselves expect it to have entirely or mostly negative effects on society, including 62% of those who’ve seen it used but never used it themselves (only 4% of them expect mostly positive effects), and 60% of those who’ve never used AI and also never seen someone use it (only 2% expect positive effects). Those who have used AI but don’t use it regularly are also more likely to be negative (14% expect positive effects and 51% expect negative impacts). Those who use AI regularly are more likely to expect positive effects from AI than negative ones (39% vs. 26%).

Liberals are less likely to expect positive effects from AI than are conservatives.

This month, the AI company Anthropic and the Department of Defense had a public dispute over what the military could use Anthropic’s AI tools for. The Pentagon wants the military to be able to use AI tools for any lawful purpose, while Anthropic wants to prevent its tools from being used for autonomous weapons or mass surveillance of Americans.

Americans are more likely to say that AI companies should be able to restrict how their AI tools are used by the military than that the military should be able to use AI tools any way it wants (44% vs. 25%). Democrats are more likely to support AI companies’ restrictive powers (64% vs. 10%) than are Republicans (24% vs. 47%).

Those who expect AI to have entirely or mostly positive effects on society are divided on the question (40% support AI companies restricting their tools, and 45% say the military should be able to use tools however it wants), while those who expect negative effects from AI are more likely to support AI companies (52% vs. 18%).

A majority of Americans say they have used AI tools, including 22% who regularly use AI and 43% who’ve used it before but don’t regularly use it. 17% of Americans have seen AI used but not used it themselves, and 14% have neither used it nor seen anyone else use it.

Most adults under 30 say they’ve used AI (73%). Older Americans are less likely to have used AI, but 52% of those 65 and older say they’ve used it. College graduates are more likely than non-college graduates to have used AI (73% vs. 60%).

Liberals are more likely than conservatives to have ever used AI — but less likely to use it often. 71% of those who say they are very liberal have ever used AI, compared to 61% of those who say they are very conservative. But most liberals who have used AI say they don’t use it regularly. Only 18% of the very liberal say they regularly use AI, compared to 28% of the very conservative.

Quick Takes

• Majorities of Americans say spending should be increased on veterans (74%), Social Security (68%), Medicare (66%), aid to the poor (61%), and Medicaid (60%), while more favor increasing than decreasing spending on the environment (51% vs. 18%), colleges and universities (40% vs. 27%), and national defense (36% vs. 24%)

  • The only two of the 10 spending areas asked about that Americans are more likely to want to decrease funding for are foreign aid (24% would increase and 42% would decrease) and ICE (27% vs. 45%)

• 57% of Americans expect prices to be higher 12 months from now, while 21% think they’ll be about the same and 11% think they’ll be lower

• Majorities of Americans say prices of key items have gone up in the last year:

  • Food: 53% say up a lot / 26% say up a little

  • Housing costs: 43% / 27%

  • Cars: 38% / 23%

  • Gas: 35% / 35%

• 14% of Americans think children growing up in the U.S. today will be better off financially than their parents, while 21% think they’ll be about the same and 45% think they’ll be worse off

• 55% of Americans approve of President Trump firing Kristi Noem as Secretary of Homeland Security. Only 15% disapprove

  • Majorities of Democrats (64%) and Republicans (54%) approve of the firing

Final Chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus the toplines and crosstabs for the March 6 - 9, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,563 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3.5%.

What do you really think about President Trump, American politics in general, and everything else? Share your reality, join the YouGov panel, and get paid to share your thoughts. Sign up here.

How often do you get into physical fights?

If you’re like 83% of Americans, the answer is “never.” Only 4% of Americans say they get into fights either once a week or more (1%), once or twice a month (1%), or a few times a year (2%), while 13% say they get into fights rarely. Men are slightly more likely than women to say they get into fights at least once per year (5% vs. 3%), but large majorities say they never fight among both men (77%) and women (88%).

Americans are more likely to say people they know get into fights: 34% of U.S. adults, including 41% of men and 28% of women, say people they know at least occasionally get into physical fights. That compares to 17% of Americans, 23% of men, and 12% of women who say they occasionally get into fights themselves.

While only 17% of Americans say they ever get into physical fights now, 58% say they sometimes fought when growing up. That includes 7% who say they had fights at least once a month while growing up, 13% who fought a few times a year, and 38% who say they got into fights rarely.

Men are more likely than women to say they ever fought when growing up (72% vs. 44%).

Younger men are less likely than older men to say they sometimes got into physical fights as kids. 78% of men 65 and older say they sometimes fought as kids, compared to 61% of men under 30. Older men aren’t more likely than younger men to say they fought often growing up; to the contrary, 11% of men under 30 say they got into fights at least once per month, compared to 5% among men 65 and older. However, older men are more likely than younger men to say they occasionally got into fights.

Among women, however, having never fought as kids is no more common among younger generations. There is even a slight age gap in the other direction: 62% of women 65 and older say they never fought while growing up, compared to 54% of younger women.

YouGov also asked Americans about a hypothetical scenario in which a young man in their local area was publicly disrespected. If the man walked away instead of fighting, did Americans think he would be viewed positively or negatively in their community?

Americans are most likely to say this young man would be viewed positively: 49% say that, while only 8% say he would be viewed negatively for walking away, for a difference of 41 points. Another 18% say “neither,” and 25% aren’t sure.

But men are less likely than women to say the non-fighting young man would be viewed positively: 45% of men say he would be viewed positively and 10% say negatively, a 36-point margin, while 53% of women say “positively” and 7% “negatively” for a 46-point margin.

This holds true among men and women of all ages, and among white, Black, and Hispanic men and women.

White Americans and older Americans are more likely to say not fighting would cause a young man to be viewed positively than are younger Americans or Black or Hispanic Americans.

Americans who say the non-fighting young man would be viewed negatively are more likely to know people who get into fights at least occasionally than are those who say he’d be viewed positively (51% vs. 32%).

See the full results of this poll, inspired by a series of X posts by social scientist Alice Evans:

• How often do you get into physical fights?

• How often do people you know get into physical fights?

• How often did you get into physical fights while growing up?

• Imagine a young man was publicly disrespected but walked away without fighting. In your local area, would he be viewed...?

Charting opinions

The times they are a-changin’ — but most Americans would rather they not

About two-thirds (64%) of Americans say they would like it if clocks no longer changed twice a year. Only 16% say they would not like to see the changing of the clocks eliminated. If time changes were to be eliminated, more Americans would prefer Permanent Daylight Saving Time, with its later sunrises and sunsets, than Permanent Standard Time’s earlier sunrises and sunsets (43% vs. 28%). (Alexander Rossell Hayes)

Americans are living for the weekend: Vast majorities like Saturday and Sunday while Mondays are divisive

The most favorably viewed time of day among Americans, among 10 asked about, is 7 p.m.: 77% view this evening hour favorably, including 34% who view it very favorably. The least favorably viewed time of day polled about is 4 a.m.: 39% have a favorable view and 41% view it unfavorably. Americans 65 and older are more likely than younger adults to have favorable views of the hours of 8 a.m. (65% vs. 55%), 10 a.m. (82% vs. 66%), noon (82% vs. 70%), and 3 p.m. (80% vs. 69%). (Jamie Ballard)

Quick takes

• Noem: 52% of Americans approve of Kristi Noem’s firing as Homeland Security Secretary, while only 18% disapprove

• Duration: If the U.S. conflict with Iran ended in less than a week, 48% of Americans say they would approve of the conflict and 27% would disapprove; if the conflict lasted more than two months, 27% would approve and 51% disapprove

• Trifecta: 52% of Republicans say it’s better if the same party controls the White House and Congress than if different parties control them; 21% of Democrats and 18% of Independents feel the same way

• Parties: 30% of Democrats want the Democratic Party to move to the left and 9% want it to move to the right; 7% of Republicans want the Republican Party to move to the left and 32% want it to move to the right

• Hockey: 68% of Republicans have very or somewhat favorable views of the U.S. men’s ice hockey team and only 7% view it unfavorably. Among Democrats, 53% are favorable toward the gold-medal winning team and 27% are unfavorable

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• The Economist + YouGov on Iran, Trump’s job handling, and ICE

• CBS + YouGov on Iran and the midterms

• Yahoo + YouGov on milk

Polling abroad

• Mythbusting claims about Gen Z and their phone habits (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Half of Americans support abolishing ICE in record poll (Axios)

• The Memo: Polls show deep public skepticism of Trump’s case on Iran (The Hill)

• All the polls on the U.S. war in Iran so far (Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris’s Substack)

• An unlikely AI optimist (Washington Post)

• 1 in 5 Americans admit to sneaking in own sauces as hot restaurant trend goes viral (Fox News)

Learn more and get in touch

Sign up to participate in our polls and share your opinions on the people, companies, and issues that shape your life and the world

For more polling data and insights, visit our website or follow us on X, Threads, and Bluesky.

Have questions or feedback?

• If you have a press or media inquiry, email uspress@yougov.com

• If you have an idea for a future survey, share it here

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• For information on privacy, please read our privacy notice

Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

In this week’s Economist / YouGov Poll:

• Americans increasingly split on party lines over the U.S. attack on Iran

• Donald Trump hits a record-low net job approval for his second term

• Support for abolishing ICE reaches 50%

Plus more polling on the Democratic and Republican parties, the State of the Union address, the 2026 midterm elections, the economy, and more.

Iran

This week’s Economist / YouGov poll went into the field on Friday, February 27. So we don’t have a lot of questions about the U.S. attack on Iran that began Saturday, February 28. (Almost 90% of respondents started their surveys after the U.S. announced its attack.)

But what we do have is suggestive.

32% of Americans strongly or somewhat support the U.S. using military force to overthrow the government of Iran, while 45% oppose this, amounting to net support of -14.

This is down slightly from last week’s survey, when on a similarly worded question, 29% of Americans strongly or somewhat supported forcibly overthrowing Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and 39% opposed this, a net support of -9 with rounding. That minor decline in net support was driven by larger falls among Democrats — to -64 now from -52 last week — and Independents, to -27 from -17. Meanwhile net support among Republicans increased to +50 from +39. Opinion about overthrowing the Iranian government had become more politically polarized after the attacks.

A similar increase in party polarization happened after the U.S. attacked Venezuela in early January: Support for overthrowing then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro among Republicans rose from 44% before the U.S. captured Maduro to 78% afterwards.

Other YouGov polls fielded after the U.S. attacked Iran have found more Americans disapprove of the attacks than approve of them.

The net opposition among Americans to the attack on Iran is noteworthy in the context of an advantage for Republicans on the issue of national defense. 33% of Americans say they trust the Democratic Party more to handle national defense, and 38% trust the Republican Party more. 88% of Republicans trust the Republican Party more, a greater proportion than the 75% of Democrats who trust the Democratic Party more. Independents are evenly divided, with 24% trusting the Democratic Party more on national defense and 25% trusting Republicans more.

Trump

Donald Trump hit a new low in net job approval for his second term in this week’s Economist / YouGov poll. 38% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job performance, while 59% disapprove — a record high disapproval for this term. Trump’s net approval of -21 for handling his job as president is the second lowest he has received in an Economist / YouGov Poll, after a survey in November 2017 (also -21, slightly lower than this week before rounding).

If Trump’s net job approval remains at this level, it will be comparable to the negative poll numbers Joe Biden received in the spring and summer of 2024, before he dropped out of the presidential race. Biden’s lowest net approval on the job was -23, in December 2024.

51% of Americans say they strongly disapprove of Trump’s job performance. That’s a record high for Trump in either of his two terms, and it is the first time in either term that more than 50% of Americans have said this.

Trump’s net job approval is negative among men and women, among white, Black, and Hispanic Americans, and among 18- to 29-year-olds, 30- to 44-year-olds, 45- to 64-year-olds, and those 65 and older.

26% of Independents approve of Trump’s job performance and a record-high 69% disapprove, for a net job approval of -43 — a record low for either term. At this point in Trump’s first term, his net approval among Independents was -12.

Trump’s job approval hitting record lows does not mean it will continue to fall in future weeks. Declines in approval one week are often associated with increases the next week, and vice versa.

ICE

Support for abolishing ICE has hit a new high in this week’s Economist / YouGov poll. Half (50%) of Americans now somewhat or strongly support abolishing ICE. Only 39% oppose abolishing the agency.

This marks the first time support has reached 50% in YouGov polling. Support for abolishing ICE has been steadily growing since January. At the same time, opposition to abolishing ICE has fallen since the start of the year, and now sits at an all-time low.

A few Economist/YouGov Polls before this year asked about abolishing ICE and each time more Americans opposed the idea than supported it.

While majorities of Democrats have supported abolishing ICE in many YouGov polls this year, this marks the first time that at least half of Independents support abolishing ICE (52%). Most Republicans (68%) continue to oppose abolishing ICE, although about one-quarter (23%) now support it, which also marks a high point in support among Republicans.

If ICE is not abolished, majorities of Americans would like to limit ICE officers’ ability to act with anonymity. Three-quarters (75%) of Americans say that ICE officers should be required to wear uniforms that identify them as part of ICE. Only 14% say they should not. Majorities of Democrats (92%), Independents (77%), and Republicans (57%) support uniform requirements for ICE.

A majority (59%) of Americans also say ICE agents should not be allowed to wear masks that hide their faces. About one-third (31%) say they should be allowed. Most Democrats (87%) and Independents (68%) oppose ICE agents hiding their faces. In contrast, Republicans are more supportive of masks for ICE agents: 65% of Republicans say ICE agents should be allowed to wear masks that hide their faces, while only 20% say they should not.

Support for both restrictions has increased slightly since January, when 73% of Americans supported requiring ICE to wear uniforms and 56% opposed allowing them to wear masks that hide their identities. (The wording on the latest poll differs slightly for both questions.)

Why do so many Americans want to abolish ICE or restrict its ability to act anonymously? One factor is that many Americans distrust the agency. Only one-quarter (26%) of Americans say they have a great deal of confidence in ICE. Nearly half (44%) say they have no confidence in ICE at all.

This marks an increase since October, when 38% said they had no confidence in ICE. (Other Economist / YouGov Polls asking a slightly different way about confidence in ICE also have found an increase in the share of Americans lacking confidence in it.)

Several questions shed light on why Americans are increasingly distrustful of ICE:

• A majority (58%) of Americans say that ICE uses excessive force, a 7-percentage-point increase since October, when 51% said ICE has used too much force. About one-third (30%) say ICE’s use of force has been necessary and justified, down from 34% in October.

• Only about one-quarter (27%) of Americans say that most or all or the people who are being deported by ICE are criminals. Nearly half (45%) say that criminals make up less than half of ICE deportees. These shares are about the same as the last time this question was asked at the end of January.

• Most Americans (68%) say there should be an investigation into the January shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti, while only 18% say there should not be an investigation. Good was killed by an ICE agent, while Pretti was killed by Border Patrol officers who were assisting with ICE actions in Minneapolis. This is similar to the shares who supported investigations in past questions that asked individually about the shootings of Good and Pretti.

Quick Takes

• The share of Americans who say the state of the economy is poor is 42%, its highest level on an Economist / YouGov Poll since September 2024

  • This rise may not persist, as several other economic-sentiment indicators have been steady in recent weeks

• Twice as many Americans say that the Republican Party is more effective in pursuing its objectives as say the Democratic Party is (47% vs. 24%)

• Majorities of Democrats (83%) and Independents (66%) — and 49% of Republicans — say more Epstein files that have not been released are still to come; only 8% of Republicans say all the files have been released

• Americans are split as to whether society has gone too far or not far enough in accepting people who are transgender (37% vs. 33%)

• Only 4% of Americans have a great deal of confidence in newspapers; 15% have quite a lot, 43% some, and 38% very little. Confidence levels are slightly lower for television news: 4% have a great deal and 47% have very little confidence

Final Chart

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus toplines and crosstabs for the February 27 - March 2, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,515 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3.5%.

What do you really think about President Trump, American politics in general, and everything else? Share your reality, join the YouGov panel, and get paid to share your thoughts. Sign up here.

Texas primaries

A YouGov poll released on the eve of Tuesday’s Texas primaries shows James Talarico with a 13-point lead over Jasmine Crockett among likely voters in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary. In the Republican U.S. Senate primary, Ken Paxton has 36% of likely voters, compared to 32% for John Cornyn and 17% for Wesley Hunt. If no candidate wins a majority, the top two candidates in that primary will advance to a runoff.

The Democratic primary shows significant splits along racial lines. Talarico leads Crockett among white likely Democratic primary voters by 69% to 26%, and among Hispanic voters by 60% to 31%. Crockett leads among Black voters by 84% to 7%.

Talarico does better among younger voters, with a 60% to 28% lead among 18- to 29-year-olds, while Crockett leads 50% to 46% among those 65 and older. Self-identified Democrats are split: 48% for Talarico and 46% for Crockett. Talarico leads Independents who are likely Democratic primary voters by 59% to 34%.

Talarico has the edge among voters who are very liberal (58% vs. 36%), liberal (57% vs. 37%), and moderate (55% vs. 39%). Crockett leads 59% to 29% among the 8% of likely Democratic primary voters who say they are either conservative or very conservative.

On the Republican side, 36% of likely Republican primary voters support Paxton, compared to 32% for Cornyn and 17% for Hunt.

Paxton leads Cornyn and Hunt among voters under 65, while Cornyn leads among those 65 and older. Paxton is ahead of Cornyn by 48% to 27% among very conservative voters while Cornyn leads 40% to 19% among moderates. Paxton leads Cornyn among likely Republican primary voters who identify as MAGA supporters by 41% to 30%. Cornyn leads Paxton among non-MAGA supporters by 45% to 15%. Hunt is in third among most major demographic subgroups.

See the full results of this poll.

Iran

More Americans strongly or somewhat disapprove of the U.S. attacking Iran (48%) than approve of it (37%). Democrats are overwhelmingly critical of the attacks (11% approve and 78% disapprove), while Republicans are equally likely to approve (76% vs. 10%).

Democrats are more likely to strongly disapprove of the attacks than Republicans are to strongly approve of them (65% vs. 53%). Most Republicans who say they’re MAGA supporters strongly approve of the attacks (65%), compared to only 27% of non-MAGA Republicans. Non-MAGA Republicans are more likely to say they somewhat approve of the attacks.

YouGov first asked about the attacks in their immediate aftermath on Saturday, and asked again with similar wording on Monday. Americans’ overall sentiments have changed only slightly: Fewer say they’re not sure, Democrats have become more likely to disapprove of the attacks since Saturday (78% now, from 70%), and Republicans have become more likely to approve (76% now, from 68%). Independents remain more than twice as likely to disapprove of the attacks as to approve.

Half (53%) of Americans say the U.S. and its allies are more likely to be the eventual winner of the conflict, while only 4% say Iran and its allies are. 8% say the two sides are equally likely to win, and 34% aren’t sure.

Those who approve of the U.S. attacking Iran are much more likely to expect a U.S. victory than are those who disapprove. 91% of Americans who strongly approve of the attack expect the U.S. and its allies to win, as do 80% of those who somewhat disapprove, 45% of those who somewhat disapprove, and 30% of those who strongly disapprove. Even among those who strongly disapprove of the attack, three times as many say the U.S. will win than that Iran will (30% vs. 9%). Half (47%) are unsure.

Few Americans expect peace in the Middle East: 49% say there won’t ever be peace in the Middle East, and 19% say there will.

But supporters of the U.S. attack are more likely than opponents to say Middle East peace is possible. Those who strongly support the attack are evenly divided (38% say yes there will ever be peace and 39% say no), while those who strongly oppose the attack overwhelmingly say Middle East peace is impossible (10% yes vs. 65% no).

Jews and atheists are more likely to say there won’t ever be peace in the Middle East (64% and 70%, respectively) than are Protestants (50%), Catholics (43%), and agnostics (47%).

Charting opinions

How Americans feel about household chores — and dividing them

Women are at least 20 points more likely than men to say they are the person primarily responsible for tidying, dusting, organizing closets and drawers, wiping down counters and tables, cleaning the kitchen, sweeping or mopping, cleaning bathrooms, doing laundry, preparing meals, washing dishes, and vacuuming. There are three chores that men are more likely than women to say they are primarily responsible for: taking out the trash, car maintenance, and yardwork. (Taylor Orth)

Quick takes

• Unity: 35% of Americans say the Republican Party is currently more united than divided, while 27% say Republicans are more divided than united; in contrast, 25% say the Democratic Party is more united and 32% say it’s more divided

• Medal of Honor: 23% of Americans say Donald Trump should be awarded a Congressional Medal of Honor, and 61% say he should not be

• Guest of honor: 45% of Americans say they definitely (33%) or probably (12%) would accept an invitation from Trump to attend a State of the Union address and receive an award, and 45% say they probably would not (9%) or definitely would not (37%)

• Epstein: 34% of Americans say Hillary Clinton was involved in crimes allegedly committed by Jeffrey Epstein, 54% say Bill Clinton was, and 51% say Donald Trump was

• AI: 53% of Americans say they’d trust leaders of the U.S. military more than the military’s AI systems to decide about the use of deadly force, while only 4% would trust AI more

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• The Economist + YouGov on tariffs, Trump’s job handling, the Russia-Ukraine war, Iran, and race relations

• CBS + YouGov on Iran and the State of the Union

Polling abroad

• How popular is Donald Trump in Europe? January 2026 (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• The Push for 875,000 People to Help Get California Billionaire Tax on the Ballot (Wall Street Journal)

• Opinion | New York Democrats Have a Chance to Vote Against the A.I. Oligarchs (New York Times)

• Trump starts a war with Iran that few Americans support (Strength In Numbers | G. Elliott Morris’s Substack)

• People Loved the Dot-Com Boom. The A.I. Boom, Not So Much. (New York Times)

• Behind the Curtain: AI’s biggest threats (Axios)

Learn more and get in touch

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For more polling data and insights, visit our website or follow us on X, Threads, and Bluesky.

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Carl Bialik and Alexander Rossell Hayes contributed to this newsletter.

Few Americans support U.S. military action against Iran, but a majority think it’s likely

Americans are more likely to oppose than to support the U.S. using military force to attack Iran or to overthrow its leader, though a majority think military action against Iran is likely in the next month. About half of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s handling of the situation in Iran. A majority of Americans are unsure what the outcome of protests in the country will be.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on Iran, as of the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• About half (49%) of Americans somewhat or strongly oppose the U.S. using military force to attack Iran. About one-quarter (27%) support such an attack

  • A majority (58%) of Republicans support such an attack. Majorities of Democrats (76%) and Independents (54%) oppose

• There is less opposition to the U.S. using military force to overthrow Iran’s leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei: 39% of Americans oppose using military force to do so, while 29% support it

  • A majority (57%) of Republicans support using the military for such an overthrow while only 18% oppose it. A majority (62%) of Democrats oppose it while only 10% support it. Independents’ views are more divided: 22% support and 38% oppose

• A majority (58%) of Americans think the U.S. is at least somewhat likely to take military action against Iran in the next month, though only 18% say such action is very likely. 11% say U.S. military action against Iran is not very likely or not likely at all

  • There is little partisan polarization on this question: Majorities of Democrats (61%), Independents (53%), and Republicans (61%) say military action against Iran is somewhat or very likely in the next month

• More Americans somewhat or strongly disapprove of Trump’s handling of the situation in Iran than approve of it (48% vs. 31%)

  • Majorities of Democrats (79%) and Independents (53%) disapprove of Trump’s handling of Iran. Most Republicans (68%) approve of it and only 12% disapprove

• A majority (55%) of Americans say they’re not sure whether protests in Iran will lead to the overthrow of the country’s government. 13% of Americans say the protests will succeed in overthrowing the government while 31% say they will not succeed

Americans have become a bit less likely to think that Iran’s protests would overthrow its government since the beginning of February, when 18% of Americans thought the protesters would succeed. and 51% weren’t sure

Two-thirds of Independents disapprove of Trump’s job performance

Far more Americans disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance than approve of it, as has been the case for most of Trump’s second term. Democrats maintain an edge over Republicans in preference for the 2026 congressional elections.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on Donald Trump and the 2026 congressional elections, as of the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 39% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of Trump’s job performance, and 57% disapprove, a net job approval of -18

  • That’s in line with Trump’s net job approval in Economist / YouGov polls over the past several months

• Two-thirds (66%) of Independents disapprove of Trump’s job performance and only 25% approve, a net job approval of -41

  • That’s Trump’s lowest net job approval among Independents in any Economist / YouGov poll from his first or second term

• Trump’s net job approval among Republicans, +74, is down from +91 at the start of his second term, but still higher than the +71 at this point in his first term

• 45% of registered voters say they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate for Congress, and 41% would vote for the Republican Party candidate

  • That 4-point margin for Democrats is down from +7 in last week’s survey, but reflects a consistent Democratic edge on this question dating back to spring 2025

Four years after Russia's invasion, most Americans side with Ukraine but few think it's winning

Four years after Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, most Americans side with Ukraine in its war with Russia. But few Americans think Ukraine is winning and Americans are split over how much military aid the U.S. should provide Ukraine.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on the Russia-Ukraine war, as of the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 61% of Americans sympathize more with Ukraine, compared to only 3% who sympathize more with Russia; 22% who take neither side

• Majorities of Democrats, Independents, and Republicans all say they sympathize more with Ukraine, but more Democrats than Republicans side with Ukraine (78% vs. 52%)

• Republicans who are MAGA supporters are less likely than non-MAGA Republicans to sympathize more with Ukraine (45% vs. 63%)

  • Americans who don’t sympathize more with Ukraine are most likely to say they sympathize with neither side, rather than that they sympathize more with Russia

• 54% of Americans say they care who wins the Russia-Ukraine war, while 26% say they don’t care and 20% aren’t sure if they care

  • Among those who care who wins, an overwhelming 91% sympathize more with Ukraine, compared to 2% who side with Russia and 5% who take neither side

  • Among those who don’t care who wins, only 26% sympathize more with Ukraine, while 4% sympathize more with Russia and a 59% majority take neither side

• 31% of Americans want to increase military aid to Ukraine, while 22% would maintain the same amount of aid, 11% would decrease aid, and 13% would stop military aid altogether

• Most Democrats want to increase or maintain military aid to Ukraine, while Republicans are split on the topic

  • 72% of Democrats want to either increase aid to Ukraine (53%) or maintain it (19%), while 9% would decrease (7%) or stop (2%) it

  • 40% of Republicans would increase (13%) or maintain (27%) aid to Ukraine, and 38% would decrease (17%) or stop (21%) it

• Most Economist / YouGov polls over the past year have, like this one, found slightly higher support for increasing military aid for Ukraine than for decreasing or stopping it — a reversal from the prior year

• 23% of Americans say Russia is currently winning the war, while 14% say Ukraine is and 37% say neither side is

  • Americans have been more likely to say Russia is winning than to say Ukraine is in most of the Economist / YouGov polls taken over the past two years that have asked about it. Ukraine was more often seen as winning in polls conducted during the first two years of the war

• Among Democrats, 18% say Russia is winning and 20% say Ukraine is, while among Republicans, 29% say Russia is winning and 12% say Ukraine is

• Americans who support increasing military aid to Ukraine are 8 points more likely to say Ukraine is winning than to say Russia is, while those who want to stop all military aid are 35 points more likely to say Russia is winning

• Americans who care who wins the Russia-Ukraine war are 2 points more likely to say Russia is winning than that Ukraine is, while those who don’t care who wins are 18 points more likely to say Russia is winning

• 34% of Americans think it’s more likely that one year from now, Ukraine will be an independent nation, while 15% think it’s more likely that it will be under Russian control; 51% aren’t sure

• 31% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of how Donald Trump is handling the Russia-Ukraine war, and 49% disapprove

• 6% of Americans say Trump is too supportive of Ukraine in the war, 39% say he’s not supportive enough of Ukraine, and 30% say he’s about right

  • That compares to Americans’ views on how Joe Biden handled the Russia-Ukraine war: 21% say Biden was too supportive of Ukraine, 22% that he wasn’t supportive enough, and 26% that he was about right

• 54% of Americans say Russia should not be allowed to participate in international competitions, such as the Olympics, World Cup, or Eurovision, so long as its invasion continues, while 20% say Russia should be allowed to participate and 26% aren’t sure

Americans are divided about the state of race relations and how successful the civil rights movement has been

Americans are more likely to say that growing diversity makes the U.S. a better place to live than to say it makes the country worse. They’re also more likely to say that racism is a big problem today than to say it’s either a small problem or not a problem. Most Americans say that Jesse Jackson, who died last week, was important in shaping American politics today, and more say he had a positive than a negative impact on the country.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on race relations, civil rights, and Jesse Jackson, as of the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 45% of Americans think that increasing racial and ethnic diversity in the U.S. makes the country a better place to live. Only 17% say it makes the country a worse place to live, and 25% say it makes no difference

  • Democrats overwhelmingly say that increasing diversity makes the country a better place to live (73%). Independents are also more likely to say it makes the country a better place to live than to say it makes it a worse place to live (41% vs. 15%). In contrast, Republicans are more likely to say that growing diversity makes the country a worse place to live (33%, vs. 25% who say it makes it a better place to live)

    • This is especially pronounced among the majority (59%) of Republicans who say they are MAGA supporters: 40% say increased diversity makes the U.S. worse off, while only 21% say it makes it better off. In contrast, the 30% of Republicans who aren’t MAGA supporters are more likely to say growing diversity makes the U.S. better than to say it makes the country worse (36% vs. 24%)

  • Opinion varies less by race. Hispanic Americans (58%) are more likely than Black (48%) and white (43%) Americans to say growing diversity makes the country a better place to live. Members of all three groups are far more likely to say growing diversity makes the country better off than to say it makes it worse off

• 41% of Americans say that racism is a big problem in our society today and 31% say it is somewhat of a problem. 19% say it is a small problem and only 10% say it is not a problem

  • The share of Americans who say racism is a big problem has increased from 32% in January 2025

  • About two-thirds (69%) of Democrats but only 16% of Republicans say racism is a big problem today. About half (48%) of Republicans say racism is a small problem or not a problem

  • Majorities of Black (63%) and Hispanic (55%) Americans say racism is a big problem. In contrast, the share of white Americans who say racism is a big problem is about the same as the share who say it is a small problem or not a problem (34% vs. 32%)

• About half (48%) of Americans say that race relations in the United States have gotten better since the 1960s. About one-quarter (26%) say race relations have stayed about the same and one-quarter (26%) say they have gotten worse

  • Most Republicans (61%) say that race relations have gotten better since the 1960s. Democrats (40%) and Independents (43%) are less likely to hold this view but more likely to hold it than to say race relations have gotten worse

    • Polarization on this question has increased since January 2025. One year ago, about half of both Republicans and Democrats said that race relations had gotten better since the 1960s

  • About half (52%) of white Americans say that race relations have gotten better since the 1960s. In contrast, Black Americans are evenly divided between saying that race relations have gotten better (34%), stayed the same (32%), and gotten worse (34%)

  • American adult citizens born before 1960 (32%) and in the 1960s (31%) are more likely than those born in the 1970s or later (22%) to say that race relations have gotten worse since the 1960s

• 38% of Americans say that a great deal or quite a bit of Martin Luther King Jr.’s dream of racial equality has been realized today. 33% say only some has been realized and 18% say very little or not much at all has been realized

  • These shares are similar to when this question was last asked in January 2025

  • Republicans (56%) are much more likely than Independents (34%) and Democrats (25%) to say that most of King’s dream has been realized

  • White (39%) and Hispanic (43%) Americans are more likely than Black Americans (31%) to say that most of King’s dream has been realized

• About half (49%) of Americans say that the civil rights movement in the 1960s made significant advances, but failed on many dimensions. About one-third (31%) say it achieved most of its goals, while only 5% say it did not achieve most of its goals. Views on the movement’s success are less polarized by party identification and race than are views on several other related questions

  • Republicans (37%) are more likely than Democrats (30%) and Independents (27%) to say the 1960s civil rights movement achieved most of its goals

  • Black (36%) and Hispanic (37%) Americans are more likely than white Americans (29%) to say it achieved most of its goals

• About two-thirds (68%) of Americans say that Jesse Jackson was somewhat or very important in shaping American politics

  • The vast majorities of Democrats (86%) and Black Americans (91%) say Jackson was important

  • About half (51%) of Republicans and about two-thirds (65%) of white Americans say the same

  • There are big differences in the shares who say Jackson was very important in shaping American politics: That view is shared by 38% of Democrats, 9% of Republicans, 16% of white Americans, and 38% of Black Americans

• Americans are three times as likely to say that the U.S. is better off because of Jackson’s time in public life as they are to say the country is worse off (37% vs. 12%)

  • Democrats (59%) and Black Americans (47%) are particularly likely to say Jackson made the country better off

  • Republicans are about evenly split between saying Jackson made the U.S. better off and saying he made it worse off (22% vs. 19%)

Majorities of Americans want lower tariffs and approve of the Supreme Court ruling against Trump’s tariffs

Majorities of Americans approve of the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down many of the tariffs Donald Trump imposed over the past year, think presidents should not be able to impose tariffs without congressional approval, and oppose Trump re-imposing tariffs using different laws.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on tariffs, as of the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 57% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of the Supreme Court’s decision, while 23% disapprove

  • Most Democrats and Independents approve of the decision, but only 27% of Republicans do, while 51% of Republicans disapprove

  • Among the majority (59%) of Republicans who say they are MAGA supporters, 18% approve and 64% disapprove

  • Among the one-third (30%) of Republicans who say they’re not MAGA supporters, 51% approve and 26% disapprove

• Only 21% of Americans say presidents should be able to impose tariffs without getting congressional approval, while 62% say they should not

• 23% of Americans — including 3% of Democrats, 13% of Independents, and 53% of Republicans — favor Trump re-imposing tariffs using a different law, while 54% of Americans oppose this

• 71% of Americans say Trump’s tariffs increased the prices they pay for things, either by a lot (43%) or slightly (29%)

  • Only 5% of Americans say Trump’s tariffs decreased prices, and 12% say they had no effect

• 47% of Americans say tariffs on foreign goods imported into the U.S. should be decreased, more than the 13% who say they should be increased or the 24% who say they should be kept the same

  • 10% or fewer of each of Democrats, Independents, and non-MAGA Republicans want tariffs increased

  • 35% of MAGA Republicans want tariffs increased, and only 7% of them want tariffs decreased

• Americans with college degrees are more likely than those without college degrees to support decreasing tariffs

• That difference in support by education holds among Democrats, Independents, and Republicans, and among people with lower, medium, and higher family incomes

This newsletter was written by David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See a version of this report on the YouGov website, plus toplines and crosstabs for the February 20 - 23, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,551 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3.5%.

What do you really think about President Trump, American politics in general, and everything else? Share your reality, join the YouGov panel, and get paid to share your thoughts. Sign up here.

Most Americans (60%) strongly or somewhat approve of the U.S. Supreme Court striking down many tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, a new YouGov poll conducted hours after the decision finds.

Only 23% of Americans disapprove of the Supreme Court’s decision. Almost all Democrats approve of it (88%), as do 63% of Independents. Republicans are more likely to disapprove than approve of the ruling, but a large minority (30%) of Republicans approve, compared to 47% of Republicans who disapprove.

Most Americans say Trump’s tariffs have increased the prices they’ve personally paid, either by a lot (41%) or slightly (25%). Only 5% of Americans say prices have gone down. 16% say the tariffs have had no effect on prices they’ve paid.

Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they’ve paid more because of tariffs, but even Republicans are four times more likely to say Trump’s tariffs have increased prices than to say that they’ve decreased prices. The bigger difference is in the share who say prices have gone up a lot because of tariffs: 67% of Democrats but only 13% of Republicans say this.

Americans who say Trump’s tariffs have made them pay higher prices are more likely to approve of the Supreme Court ruling than are those who don’t — and the same is true among Republicans.

Of the 13% of Republicans who say their prices have increased a lot because of the tariffs, 68% strongly or somewhat approve of the court’s ruling, and only 15% disapprove. Republicans who say their prices have increased slightly are closely split (43% approve and 48% disapprove). And Republicans who say their prices have decreased or not changed mostly disapprove (12% approve vs. 69% disapprove). The number of Republican respondents who say their prices increased a lot is small but the difference is large enough to make the effect is significant.

The same split shows up among Independents, with approval for the Supreme Court’s ruling at 87% among those who say their prices have increased a lot, 66% among those who say their prices have increased slightly, and 34% among those who say their prices have decreased or not changed.

Almost all Democrats approve of the court’s ruling, whether they say their prices have increased a lot or a little. Too few Democrats say Trump’s tariffs have decreased prices or not changed prices for YouGov to report this group’s views.

So far, the Supreme Court’s rejection of Trump’s tariffs does not appear to have had an effect on how Americans view the court. In October 2025, 32% of U.S. adult citizens strongly or somewhat approved of how the Supreme Court was doing its job, and 47% disapproved — a net job approval of -15. Today the Supreme Court’s net job approval among adult citizens is -13. Net Supreme Court job approval among Democrats has changed little, to -58 from -60 in October; among Republicans it was -43 in both surveys.

The effect of the decision on approval of the Supreme Court could increase as more Americans hear about the decision. As of the poll, 21% had heard a lot about the decision, 43% a little, and 27% nothing at all.

Charting opinions

How Americans evaluate U.S. presidents and first ladies

A new YouGov survey asked Americans to rate 20 U.S. presidents and 11 first ladies on a scale from outstanding to poor. The three presidents rated as outstanding or above average by the highest shares of Americans among the 20 in the poll are Abraham Lincoln (74%), John F. Kennedy (66%), and George Washington (65%). More recent presidents have many more detractors than do presidents from earlier in U.S. history. (Taylor Orth)

Many Americans like the concept of TrumpRx, but the name turns off some of them

When TrumpRx is not mentioned by name, a majority (57%) of Americans somewhat or strongly approve of the new website; only 19% say they disapprove of it. In contrast, when the name TrumpRx is mentioned, opinions are more closely divided: 41% approve and 31% disapprove. That amounts to a 28-point difference in net approval. This may underestimate the effect of the program’s name, as some respondents might have been aware of TrumpRx’s name before taking the poll. (Alexander Rossell Hayes)

Americans’ favorite condiments

The three condiments that the largest share of Americans say they “love” out of the 22 included in the survey are peanut butter (44%), honey (40%), and salsa (37%). Other popular condiments are barbecue sauce (34% love it), chocolate sauce (33%), ketchup (33%), maple syrup (32%), jam or jelly (32%), ranch dressing (30%), and mayonnaise (30%).

None of the 22 condiments are thought of negatively by a majority of Americans, though sizable shares do say they dislike or hate fish sauce (39%), hot sauce (27%), and relish (27%). Neutral feelings are most common for steak sauce (30%) and Thousand Island dressing (29%). (Taylor Orth)

Quick takes

• Gases: 44% of Americans say government regulation of greenhouse gases should be increased a lot (30%) or a little (14%), while 18% say they should be decreased a lot (12%) or decreased a little (6%)

• Spam: 22% of Americans say they always or sometimes answer phone calls from numbers they don’t recognize, including 31% of 18- to 29-year-olds, 25% of 30- to 44-year-olds, 17% of 45- to 64-year-olds, and 16% of those 65 and older

• Fathers: 79% of Americans — including 73% of men and 84% of women — say men should generally be in the delivery room when their children are being born

• Olympics: 42% of Americans say national success at the Olympic Games should be judged based on total medals won, while 21% say it should be based on total gold medals won

• Lent: 14% of Americans say they’ll give something up for Lent this year, and 70% say they won’t

• Social media: 18% of American say they are addicted to social media, while 29% say they aren’t but know someone who is, and 39% say neither they nor anyone they know personally are

Elsewhere

Polling partnerships

• The Economist + YouGov on immigration, Epstein, the midterms, AI, climate change, and Bad Bunny

• Yahoo! + YouGov on Trump’s place in history, the midterms, immigration, Bad Bunny, and chivalry

Polling abroad

• A compilation of data on public opinion surrounding Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (YouGov UK)

Polling in the press

• Pope Leo XIV Won’t Join The Board Of Peace | Record Disapproval | The MAHA Workout | Monkey Update (Late Show with Stephen Colbert)

• 53 percent in new poll think Trump is ‘trying to cover up’ Epstein’s crimes (The Hill)

• Meta, Amazon, Microsoft: Investors fall out of love with AI (Axios)

• An American Literacy Crisis (Chaotic Reader | Marissa Gallerani’s Substack)

• “Everyone” is the New “Literally” (Entertainment Strategy Guy | Substack)

Learn more and get in touch

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Carl Bialik contributed to this newsletter.

By a two-to-one margin, Americans approve of ending the immigration enforcement surge in Minnesota

Majorities of Americans approve of ending the immigration enforcement surge in Minnesota and say that the surge was a bad idea. Americans remain more likely to support than oppose abolishing ICE and more likely to disapprove than approve of Donald Trump’s handling of immigration. More Americans say that immigrants who are in the U.S. illegally should be allowed to stay than say they should be deported. Americans are split over whether legal immigration to the U.S. should be expanded or restricted.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on immigration and ICE, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• A majority (54%) of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of ending the immigration enforcement surge in Minnesota. Only one-quarter (26%) disapprove of ending the surge

  • Majorities of Democrats (61%) and Republicans (55%) approve of ending the surge, as do about half (49%) of Independents

• A majority (54%) of Americans say that sending 3,000 ICE and Border Patrol agents to Minnesota was a bad idea. About one-third (31%) say it was a good idea

• 46% of Americans would support abolishing ICE and 41% would oppose it. These shares are about the same as last week

• Net approval of Trump’s handling of immigration is −11. That means the share of Americans who disapprove (53%) minus the share who approve (42%) is 11 percentage points

• This is a slight improvement from last week, when Trump’s net approval on immigration reached a second-term low of −13, but it’s still the second-lowest net approval recorded in Trump’s current term

• About as many Americans say that illegal immigrants living in the U.S. should be allowed to stay and apply for citizenship as say they should be deported (41% vs. 38%). 7% say that these immigrants should be allowed to stay but not to apply for citizenship

• These shares are about the same as when this question was last asked in December 2025

• Americans are divided over whether the number of legal immigrants admitted into the U.S. each year should be increased or decreased: 23% would increase the number, 32% would keep it the same, 23% would decrease it, and 6% would reduce it to zero

A majority of Americans disapprove of Donald Trump and even more disapprove of his handling of the Epstein investigation

A majority of Americans disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling his overall job as president, and even more disapprove of how Trump is handling the investigation into Jeffrey Epstein. These negative views of Trump’s handling of his overall job and the Epstein investigation have changed little in recent weeks.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on Donald Trump, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 39% of Americans strongly or somewhat approve of how Trump is handling his job as president, while 56% disapprove — a net job approval of -16

• That’s in line with Trump’s net approval in recent Economist / YouGov polls

• Net approval of Trump’s handling of the Epstein investigations is -33 — meaning the share of Americans who strongly or somewhat disapprove (57%) minus the share who approve (24%) — is 33 percentage points, and has changed little since last week

• 53% of Americans say Trump is trying to cover up Epstein’s crimes, while 29% say Trump isn’t

  • 91% of Democrats, 58% of Independents, and 13% of Republicans say Trump is trying to cover up Epstein’s crimes

• Half (50%) of Americans think that Trump was involved in crimes allegedly committed by Epstein; 30% think he was not

  • 86% of Democrats, 53% of Independents, and 13% of Republicans believe Trump was involved in Epstein’s crimes

Democrats expand their lead in the 2026 congressional election

Democrats have a 7-point lead over Republicans in voting intention for Congress. That’s Democrats’ largest lead since the Economist / YouGov polls resumed asking this question after the 2024 election, and in part reflects Republicans being more likely than Democrats to say they won’t vote or aren’t sure how they’d vote.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on the 2026 congressional elections, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 47% of registered voters say they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate if elections for U.S. Congress were held today, while 40% would vote for the Republican Party candidate

  • Democrats have consistently led on this question in Economist / YouGov polls dating back to spring 2025, but this is the largest share of voters to prefer Democrats in any of the polls this election cycle

• Democrats’ 7-point lead in preference for Congress is their largest in any Economist / YouGov polls this election cycle

• It’s also a bigger Democratic edge in U.S. Congress vote preferences than at this point in the 2024 election (Democrats up by 2 points) or the 2022 election (Democrats up by 6 points)

• 97% of Democrats say they would vote for Democratic candidates for Congress, bigger than the 89% of Republicans who say they would vote for Republican candidates

• Independents prefer Democratic candidates over Republican candidates by a two-to-one margin: 44% vs. 22%

• Democrats lead 52% to 41% among registered voters who follow what’s going on in government and public affairs most of the time, an 11-point edge

  • Democrats have a 5-point lead among those who follow the news some of the time, and trail by 2 points among those who rarely follow what’s going on in government and public affairs

  • Registered voters who follow the news less closely are more likely to say they won’t vote, that they aren’t sure which party they’d vote for, and that they’d vote for a third-party candidate

• Significant shares of Republican-leaning registered voters say they wouldn’t vote or aren’t sure how they would vote, especially among those who don’t closely follow the news — while the vast majority of Democratic-leaning registered voters say they would vote for Democratic candidates

  • Among those who follow political news most of the time, 96% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning registered voters say they’d vote for the Democratic candidate for Congress, compared to 92% of Republicans and Republican-leaning candidates who would vote for the Republican candidate

  • Among those who follow political news some of the time, 91% of Democratic-leaners would vote for Democrats, while 84% of Republican-leaners would vote for Republicans

  • Among those who follow political news only now and then or hardly at all, 94% of Democratic-leaners say they’d vote for Democratic candidates — almost identical to the Democratic share among high-news-consumption Democratic-leaners

  • But only 74% of Republican-leaners who rarely follow political news say they’d vote for Republican candidates, while 25% of them say they’d vote for another candidate, wouldn’t vote, or aren’t sure who they’d vote for

Most Americans say AI will reduce the number of jobs in the U.S.

Majorities of Americans don’t have much trust in AI and think companies are investing too much in it. Most Americans say AI will decrease the availability of jobs. More say it will have a negative effect on the economy than say it will have a positive effect. Most Americans have used artificial intelligence (AI), but only one-quarter use it regularly.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on artificial intelligence, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• About two-thirds (63%) of Americans have used AI but only about one-quarter (23%) use it regularly

  • Younger adults are more likely than older Americans to have used AI

• A majority (58%) of Americans say they do not trust AI much or don’t trust it at all. About one-third (35%) trust it a fair amount or a great deal

  • Younger adults are more likely than older Americans to trust AI, and Republicans are more likely than Democrats or Independents to trust it. However, those with a fair amount or a great deal of trust in AI are in the minority in all age and party groups

• Americans are more likely to say AI will have a negative overall effect on the economy than to say its effect will be mostly positive (45% vs. 16%). One-quarter (24%) say its effect will be equally positive and negative

  • Younger adults and Republicans are more likely to say AI will have an overall positive effect than older Americans, Democrats, and Independents. But in all groups, a larger share say the effect will be mostly negative

  • These results have not significantly changed since the last time this question was asked in September 2025

• Nearly two-thirds (63%) of Americans think AI will lead to a decrease in the number of jobs available in the U.S. Only 7% say it will increase the number of jobs and 12% say it will not affect jobs’ availability. These shares have not significantly changed since this question was asked in September 2025

• A majority (54%) of Americans think companies are investing too much in AI. 22% of Americans say companies are investing the right amount and 4% think they are investing too little

Nearly half of Americans think they'll see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetimes

Most Americans say the world’s climate is changing and nearly half think they will see catastrophic effects of climate change during their lifetimes. Majorities say the U.S. should do more to address climate change, should increase or keep current environmental regulations, and should use more solar and wind energy. More Americans say stricter environmental standards would help the U.S. economy than say stricter standards would hurt it.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on climate change and the environment, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• A majority (59%) of Americans believe that the world’s climate is changing as a result of human activity. A further 22% say the climate is changing but not because of human activity. Only 6% say the climate is not changing

• Nearly half (45%) of Americans think they will see catastrophic impacts of climate change in their lifetimes. About one-third (31%) do not think they will see catastrophic effects, with the remaining 24% not sure

• A majority (57%) of Americans say the U.S. should do more to address climate change. Only 16% say that the U.S. should do less

  • Most Democrats (90%) and a majority (58%) of Independents say the U.S. should do more to address climate change. Republicans are more divided: 25% say the U.S. should do more, 29% say it should not change what it’s doing, and 33% say it should do less

  • Younger adults are more likely than older Americans to say the U.S. should do more to address climate change

• Americans are more likely to say government regulation should be increased than to say it should be decreased in each of four areas included in our survey

  • A majority (58%) of Americans support increasing regulation of wildlife habits

  • Support for increased regulations on oil drilling (46%), greenhouse gas emissions (42%), and pesticides (41%) is a bit lower, but greater than support for decreasing regulations on each

• More Americans say that stricter environmental standards would help the U.S. economy than say they would hurt it (40% vs. 22%)

• Majorities of Americans say the U.S. should use more solar energy (64%) and wind energy (57%)

• More Americans would decrease than increase U.S. usage of energy from gas (33% vs. 19%) and coal (46% vs. 17%)

• Opinions about nuclear energy are split: 29% say the U.S. should use less nuclear energy while 30% say it should use more

Twice as many Americans tuned in to Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show as watched Kid Rock

Around half of Americans watched this year’s Super Bowl, and while many enjoyed the game, an even larger share of those who watched the Bad Bunny halftime show rated it highly. Twice as many watched the official Bad Bunny halftime show as did the alternative All-American Halftime Show featuring Kid Rock and Brantley Gilbert, though viewers of each show are about as likely to have enjoyed them.

What you need to know about Americans’ views on the Super Bowl, as of the February 13 - 16, 2026 Economist / YouGov Poll:

• 53% of Americans say they watched the Super Bowl this year, including 57% of men and 49% of women

• Most people who watched the Super Bowl say this year’s game was excellent (19%) or good (38%); 29% say it was fair and 14% say it was poor

• Among those who watched, more say that this year’s Super Bowl ads were worse than in prior years than say they were better (33% vs. 12%); half (49%) say they were about the same as prior years’

• 46% of Americans say they watched the Super Bowl halftime show featuring Bad Bunny. 72% of people who watched the game also watched the official halftime show. Also, 18% of people who didn’t watch the game say they watched the halftime show

• Viewers of the Bad Bunny halftime show are more likely to have enjoyed the show than viewers of the game are to have enjoyed the game: 48% say the Bad Bunny halftime show was excellent, 30% say it was good, 12% say it was fair, and 13% say it was poor

• 24% of Americans say they watched the All-American Halftime Show featuring Kid Rock and Brantley Gilbert. While this is roughly half as many as watched the Bad Bunny halftime show, viewers of the All-American Halftime Show are slightly more likely to have enjoyed it: 47% say it was excellent, 39% say it was good, 8% say it was fair, and 5% say it was poor

• Democrats are far more likely than Republicans to have watched the Bad Bunny halftime show (73% vs. 29%) and far less likely to have watched the All-American halftime show (12% vs. 44%)

This newsletter was written by Taylor Orth, David Montgomery, Alexander Rossell Hayes, and Carl Bialik

See the toplines and crosstabs for the February 13 -16, 2026 Economist/YouGov Poll

Methodology: The poll was conducted among 1,682 U.S. adult citizens. Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of U.S. adult citizens. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education, geographic region, and voter registration) was selected from the 2019 American Community Survey. The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, geographic region, 2024 presidential vote, 2020 election turnout and presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. 2024 presidential vote, at time of weighting, was estimated to be 48% Harris and 50% Trump. Demographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given around November 8, 2024, and is weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (31% Democratic, 33% Republican). The margin of error for the overall sample is approximately 3%.

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